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icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
テクノロジー·Apple

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
テクノロジー·Apple

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

5月 15

5月 15

ChatGPT 92.0%

Claude by Anthropic 5.9%

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor <1%

Netflix Game Controller <1%

Polymarket
新規

ChatGPT 92.0%

Claude by Anthropic 5.9%

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor <1%

Netflix Game Controller <1%

Polymarket
新規
icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$3,187 Vol.

92%

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$263 Vol.

6%

icon for CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$369 Vol.

1%

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$416 Vol.

1%

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$350 Vol.

<1%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$361 Vol.

<1%

icon for Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$365 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker

Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker

$506 Vol.

<1%

icon for Google

Google

$371 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT commands an 89.5% implied probability as the top trader consensus for the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store on May 15, anchored by its current stranglehold on the charts after surging downloads from the May 5 rollout of GPT-5.5 Instant, OpenAI's faster large language model variant optimized for mobile AI assistance. Live rankings from App Store and trackers like Appfigures confirm ChatGPT at #1, fending off Claude by Anthropic (5.9%), which briefly dethroned it in February-March 2026 amid competitive AI positioning but has since slipped to #2. Google Gemini and Meta AI linger low amid thinner user momentum, though daily download volatility—driven by viral features or promotions—could spark shifts before tomorrow's snapshot. Traders eye sustained adoption in the AI assistant race as the key edge.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
音量
$6,162
終了日
2026/05/15
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT commands an 89.5% implied probability as the top trader consensus for the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store on May 15, anchored by its current stranglehold on the charts after surging downloads from the May 5 rollout of GPT-5.5 Instant, OpenAI's faster large language model variant optimized for mobile AI assistance. Live rankings from App Store and trackers like Appfigures confirm ChatGPT at #1, fending off Claude by Anthropic (5.9%), which briefly dethroned it in February-March 2026 amid competitive AI positioning but has since slipped to #2. Google Gemini and Meta AI linger low amid thinner user momentum, though daily download volatility—driven by viral features or promotions—could spark shifts before tomorrow's snapshot. Traders eye sustained adoption in the AI assistant race as the key edge.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
音量
$6,162
終了日
2026/05/15
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ChatGPT」で92%、次いで「Claude by Anthropic」が6%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、92¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に92%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 12, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ChatGPT」で92%であり、市場がこの結果に92%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Claude by Anthropic」で6%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。