Figure's F.03 humanoid robots have driven trader consensus toward a 59% implied probability for over 200 hours of runtime without failure in their ongoing YouTube livestream endurance test, where autonomous package sorting via Helix-02 vision-language-action neural networks has surpassed 24 hours—and likely 40 hours by May 15—with zero qualifying failures defined as two continuous minutes without packages pushed. This momentum stems from recent hardware-software upgrades, including the Vulcan AI controller enabling hobble recovery from up to three actuator losses, multi-robot failover, self-diagnostics, and routine battery swaps every 3-4 hours for sustained uptime. Late April's 24x production scale-up to one F.03 per hour underscores maturing reliability, though skeptics price 26% odds for 100-200 hours citing potential wear in prolonged 24/7 operation; watch the stream for threshold-crossing catalysts before May 21 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日200時間以上 50%
50～100時間 20%
100〜200時間 20%
8〜50時間 7%
新規
$16,465 Vol.
新規
$16,465 Vol.
2026/05/21
8〜50時間
7%
50～100時間
20%
100〜200時間
26%
200時間以上
61%
200時間以上 50%
50～100時間 20%
100〜200時間 20%
8〜50時間 7%
新規
$16,465 Vol.
新規
$16,465 Vol.
2026/05/21
8〜50時間
$6,308 Vol.
7%
50～100時間
$2,760 Vol.
20%
100〜200時間
$2,092 Vol.
26%
200時間以上
$5,168 Vol.
61%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure's F.03 humanoid robots have driven trader consensus toward a 59% implied probability for over 200 hours of runtime without failure in their ongoing YouTube livestream endurance test, where autonomous package sorting via Helix-02 vision-language-action neural networks has surpassed 24 hours—and likely 40 hours by May 15—with zero qualifying failures defined as two continuous minutes without packages pushed. This momentum stems from recent hardware-software upgrades, including the Vulcan AI controller enabling hobble recovery from up to three actuator losses, multi-robot failover, self-diagnostics, and routine battery swaps every 3-4 hours for sustained uptime. Late April's 24x production scale-up to one F.03 per hour underscores maturing reliability, though skeptics price 26% odds for 100-200 hours citing potential wear in prolonged 24/7 operation; watch the stream for threshold-crossing catalysts before May 21 resolution.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
音量
$16,465終了日
2026/05/21マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure's F.03 humanoid robots have driven trader consensus toward a 59% implied probability for over 200 hours of runtime without failure in their ongoing YouTube livestream endurance test, where autonomous package sorting via Helix-02 vision-language-action neural networks has surpassed 24 hours—and likely 40 hours by May 15—with zero qualifying failures defined as two continuous minutes without packages pushed. This momentum stems from recent hardware-software upgrades, including the Vulcan AI controller enabling hobble recovery from up to three actuator losses, multi-robot failover, self-diagnostics, and routine battery swaps every 3-4 hours for sustained uptime. Late April's 24x production scale-up to one F.03 per hour underscores maturing reliability, though skeptics price 26% odds for 100-200 hours citing potential wear in prolonged 24/7 operation; watch the stream for threshold-crossing catalysts before May 21 resolution.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$16,465終了日
2026/05/21マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Figure's F.03 humanoid robots have driven trader consensus toward a 59% implied probability for over 200 hours of runtime without failure in their ongoing YouTube livestream endurance test, where autonomous package sorting via Helix-02 vision-language-action neural networks has surpassed 24 hours—and likely 40 hours by May 15—with zero qualifying failures defined as two continuous minutes without packages pushed. This momentum stems from recent hardware-software upgrades, including the Vulcan AI controller enabling hobble recovery from up to three actuator losses, multi-robot failover, self-diagnostics, and routine battery swaps every 3-4 hours for sustained uptime. Late April's 24x production scale-up to one F.03 per hour underscores maturing reliability, though skeptics price 26% odds for 100-200 hours citing potential wear in prolonged 24/7 operation; watch the stream for threshold-crossing catalysts before May 21 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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