Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic initial public offering by June 30, 2026, at 98.7% implied probability, driven by the company's aggressive pursuit of massive private funding—currently negotiating $30–50 billion rounds at $900 billion+ valuations amid explosive 80-fold revenue growth in Q1 2026 from Claude large language model adoption. No S-1 filing or roadshow has materialized despite banker hires like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, and SEC review timelines for a trillion-dollar AI firm typically span months. Pre-IPO trading on platforms like Jupiter implies $1.2–1.4 trillion valuations, underscoring ample private capital availability. Realistic challenges include an unprecedented fast-tracked filing and approval, though historical precedents for peers like OpenAI suggest Q4 2026 or later.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 98.6%
6,000億ドル以上 <1%
1000億ドル未満 <1%
4,000億～6,000億 <1%
$1,290,899 Vol.
$1,290,899 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
<1%
1,000〜2,000億ドル
<1%
2,000～3,000億ドル
<1%
3,000〜4,000億
<1%
4,000億～6,000億
<1%
6,000億ドル以上
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
99%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 98.6%
6,000億ドル以上 <1%
1000億ドル未満 <1%
4,000億～6,000億 <1%
$1,290,899 Vol.
$1,290,899 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
$259,642 Vol.
<1%
1,000〜2,000億ドル
$91,548 Vol.
<1%
2,000～3,000億ドル
$147,181 Vol.
<1%
3,000〜4,000億
$98,599 Vol.
<1%
4,000億～6,000億
$160,884 Vol.
<1%
6,000億ドル以上
$285,097 Vol.
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
$247,949 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic initial public offering by June 30, 2026, at 98.7% implied probability, driven by the company's aggressive pursuit of massive private funding—currently negotiating $30–50 billion rounds at $900 billion+ valuations amid explosive 80-fold revenue growth in Q1 2026 from Claude large language model adoption. No S-1 filing or roadshow has materialized despite banker hires like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, and SEC review timelines for a trillion-dollar AI firm typically span months. Pre-IPO trading on platforms like Jupiter implies $1.2–1.4 trillion valuations, underscoring ample private capital availability. Realistic challenges include an unprecedented fast-tracked filing and approval, though historical precedents for peers like OpenAI suggest Q4 2026 or later.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
音量
$1,290,899終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic initial public offering by June 30, 2026, at 98.7% implied probability, driven by the company's aggressive pursuit of massive private funding—currently negotiating $30–50 billion rounds at $900 billion+ valuations amid explosive 80-fold revenue growth in Q1 2026 from Claude large language model adoption. No S-1 filing or roadshow has materialized despite banker hires like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, and SEC review timelines for a trillion-dollar AI firm typically span months. Pre-IPO trading on platforms like Jupiter implies $1.2–1.4 trillion valuations, underscoring ample private capital availability. Realistic challenges include an unprecedented fast-tracked filing and approval, though historical precedents for peers like OpenAI suggest Q4 2026 or later.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$1,290,899終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic initial public offering by June 30, 2026, at 98.7% implied probability, driven by the company's aggressive pursuit of massive private funding—currently negotiating $30–50 billion rounds at $900 billion+ valuations amid explosive 80-fold revenue growth in Q1 2026 from Claude large language model adoption. No S-1 filing or roadshow has materialized despite banker hires like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, and SEC review timelines for a trillion-dollar AI firm typically span months. Pre-IPO trading on platforms like Jupiter implies $1.2–1.4 trillion valuations, underscoring ample private capital availability. Realistic challenges include an unprecedented fast-tracked filing and approval, though historical precedents for peers like OpenAI suggest Q4 2026 or later.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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