Waymo's rapid scaling of its robotaxi operations, backed by recent driverless launches in markets like Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Orlando, Miami, San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, and Denver, positions the 16-19 city range as the market favorite at 63.5% implied probability. After reaching about 10-11 operational U.S. cities by mid-2026 following earlier expansions from core sites in Phoenix, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Atlanta, and Austin, the company has announced ambitious plans for 20+ total cities by year-end, including international entries like London and Tokyo plus testing in challenging environments such as Detroit and Minneapolis. Traders appear to discount full realization of every announced market by December 31 due to typical regulatory, infrastructure, and phased public rollout timelines, while the 12-15 bin at 24.9% accounts for possible delays amid competitive pressures from rivals like Tesla. Upcoming catalysts include further regulatory approvals and service-area growth ahead of events like the FIFA World Cup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日16〜19 64%
12〜15 24.9%
20～23 5%
24〜27 3.1%
$49,824 Vol.
$49,824 Vol.
2026/12/31
12未満
3%
12〜15
25%
16〜19
64%
20～23
5%
24〜27
3%
28〜31
2%
32以上
2%
16〜19 64%
12〜15 24.9%
20～23 5%
24〜27 3.1%
$49,824 Vol.
$49,824 Vol.
2026/12/31
12未満
$3,846 Vol.
3%
12〜15
$11,599 Vol.
25%
16〜19
$8,538 Vol.
64%
20～23
$10,484 Vol.
5%
24〜27
$8,733 Vol.
3%
28〜31
$3,392 Vol.
2%
32以上
$3,283 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo's rapid scaling of its robotaxi operations, backed by recent driverless launches in markets like Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Orlando, Miami, San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, and Denver, positions the 16-19 city range as the market favorite at 63.5% implied probability. After reaching about 10-11 operational U.S. cities by mid-2026 following earlier expansions from core sites in Phoenix, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Atlanta, and Austin, the company has announced ambitious plans for 20+ total cities by year-end, including international entries like London and Tokyo plus testing in challenging environments such as Detroit and Minneapolis. Traders appear to discount full realization of every announced market by December 31 due to typical regulatory, infrastructure, and phased public rollout timelines, while the 12-15 bin at 24.9% accounts for possible delays amid competitive pressures from rivals like Tesla. Upcoming catalysts include further regulatory approvals and service-area growth ahead of events like the FIFA World Cup.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
音量
$49,824終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo's rapid scaling of its robotaxi operations, backed by recent driverless launches in markets like Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Orlando, Miami, San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, and Denver, positions the 16-19 city range as the market favorite at 63.5% implied probability. After reaching about 10-11 operational U.S. cities by mid-2026 following earlier expansions from core sites in Phoenix, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Atlanta, and Austin, the company has announced ambitious plans for 20+ total cities by year-end, including international entries like London and Tokyo plus testing in challenging environments such as Detroit and Minneapolis. Traders appear to discount full realization of every announced market by December 31 due to typical regulatory, infrastructure, and phased public rollout timelines, while the 12-15 bin at 24.9% accounts for possible delays amid competitive pressures from rivals like Tesla. Upcoming catalysts include further regulatory approvals and service-area growth ahead of events like the FIFA World Cup.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$49,824終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Waymo's rapid scaling of its robotaxi operations, backed by recent driverless launches in markets like Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Orlando, Miami, San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, and Denver, positions the 16-19 city range as the market favorite at 63.5% implied probability. After reaching about 10-11 operational U.S. cities by mid-2026 following earlier expansions from core sites in Phoenix, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Atlanta, and Austin, the company has announced ambitious plans for 20+ total cities by year-end, including international entries like London and Tokyo plus testing in challenging environments such as Detroit and Minneapolis. Traders appear to discount full realization of every announced market by December 31 due to typical regulatory, infrastructure, and phased public rollout timelines, while the 12-15 bin at 24.9% accounts for possible delays amid competitive pressures from rivals like Tesla. Upcoming catalysts include further regulatory approvals and service-area growth ahead of events like the FIFA World Cup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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