Alibaba leads trader consensus at 66% due to its unmatched scale in open-source Qwen model deployments exceeding one billion downloads, expansive cloud infrastructure, and push into agentic applications via the Token Hub group. Recent Qwen releases through early 2026 reinforced broad commercial adoption and ecosystem reach, outpacing pure-play rivals. Z.ai follows at 21.5% on the strength of its GLM-5 launch in February, Huawei Ascend compatibility suiting domestic enterprise buyers, and January Hong Kong IPO that boosted visibility, though compute constraints briefly weighed on momentum. Moonshot, StepFun, and ByteDance trail with specialized long-context or consumer tools but lack comparable infrastructure or procurement networks heading into July resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Alibaba 66%
Z.ai 22%
Moonshot 4.9%
StepFun 3.4%
新規
新規
2026/07/31
Alibaba
66%
Z.ai
22%
Moonshot
5%
StepFun
3%
ByteDance
3%
Meituan
2%
DeepSeek
2%
Tencent
2%
Xiaomi
1%
Baidu
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Alibaba 66%
Z.ai 22%
Moonshot 4.9%
StepFun 3.4%
新規
新規
2026/07/31
Alibaba
$1,509 Vol.
66%
Z.ai
$578 Vol.
22%
Moonshot
$432 Vol.
5%
StepFun
$557 Vol.
3%
ByteDance
$536 Vol.
3%
Meituan
$460 Vol.
2%
DeepSeek
$467 Vol.
2%
Tencent
$506 Vol.
2%
Xiaomi
$366 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$366 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$461 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba leads trader consensus at 66% due to its unmatched scale in open-source Qwen model deployments exceeding one billion downloads, expansive cloud infrastructure, and push into agentic applications via the Token Hub group. Recent Qwen releases through early 2026 reinforced broad commercial adoption and ecosystem reach, outpacing pure-play rivals. Z.ai follows at 21.5% on the strength of its GLM-5 launch in February, Huawei Ascend compatibility suiting domestic enterprise buyers, and January Hong Kong IPO that boosted visibility, though compute constraints briefly weighed on momentum. Moonshot, StepFun, and ByteDance trail with specialized long-context or consumer tools but lack comparable infrastructure or procurement networks heading into July resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Jun 4, 2026, 3:25 PM ET
音量
$6,236終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jun 4, 2026, 3:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba leads trader consensus at 66% due to its unmatched scale in open-source Qwen model deployments exceeding one billion downloads, expansive cloud infrastructure, and push into agentic applications via the Token Hub group. Recent Qwen releases through early 2026 reinforced broad commercial adoption and ecosystem reach, outpacing pure-play rivals. Z.ai follows at 21.5% on the strength of its GLM-5 launch in February, Huawei Ascend compatibility suiting domestic enterprise buyers, and January Hong Kong IPO that boosted visibility, though compute constraints briefly weighed on momentum. Moonshot, StepFun, and ByteDance trail with specialized long-context or consumer tools but lack comparable infrastructure or procurement networks heading into July resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$6,236終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jun 4, 2026, 3:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alibaba leads trader consensus at 66% due to its unmatched scale in open-source Qwen model deployments exceeding one billion downloads, expansive cloud infrastructure, and push into agentic applications via the Token Hub group. Recent Qwen releases through early 2026 reinforced broad commercial adoption and ecosystem reach, outpacing pure-play rivals. Z.ai follows at 21.5% on the strength of its GLM-5 launch in February, Huawei Ascend compatibility suiting domestic enterprise buyers, and January Hong Kong IPO that boosted visibility, though compute constraints briefly weighed on momentum. Moonshot, StepFun, and ByteDance trail with specialized long-context or consumer tools but lack comparable infrastructure or procurement networks heading into July resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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