Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of a significant first-day pop beyond the upped $150–$160 per share pricing range announced May 10, which implies a fully diluted valuation near $49 billion on a $4.8 billion raise. Surging demand—reportedly oversubscribed 20x—stems from the AI chip designer's $24.6 billion revenue backlog, major OpenAI and AWS contracts, and $510 million 2025 revenue amid sector euphoria, up from a February $23 billion private valuation. With Nasdaq listing as CBRS imminent this week, traders eye sustained AI infrastructure spending as key to post-IPO trading dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日600億~700億ドル 48%
700億ドル〜800億ドル 17%
500億ドル〜600億ドル 14%
800億ドル〜900億ドル 9.5%
$83,204 Vol.
$83,204 Vol.
<500億ドル
6%
500億ドル〜600億ドル
14%
600億~700億ドル
48%
700億ドル〜800億ドル
17%
800億ドル〜900億ドル
10%
900億~1000億ドル
9%
1,000億ドル以上
3%
2026年7月以前にIPOなし
<1%
600億~700億ドル 48%
700億ドル〜800億ドル 17%
500億ドル〜600億ドル 14%
800億ドル〜900億ドル 9.5%
$83,204 Vol.
$83,204 Vol.
<500億ドル
6%
500億ドル〜600億ドル
14%
600億~700億ドル
48%
700億ドル〜800億ドル
17%
800億ドル〜900億ドル
10%
900億~1000億ドル
9%
1,000億ドル以上
3%
2026年7月以前にIPOなし
<1%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of a significant first-day pop beyond the upped $150–$160 per share pricing range announced May 10, which implies a fully diluted valuation near $49 billion on a $4.8 billion raise. Surging demand—reportedly oversubscribed 20x—stems from the AI chip designer's $24.6 billion revenue backlog, major OpenAI and AWS contracts, and $510 million 2025 revenue amid sector euphoria, up from a February $23 billion private valuation. With Nasdaq listing as CBRS imminent this week, traders eye sustained AI infrastructure spending as key to post-IPO trading dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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