SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a confidential SEC filing in early April and plans to price as soon as June 11 on Nasdaq following a June 4 roadshow, has solidified trader expectations for a closing market cap at or above $2 trillion. Recent secondary share sales valued the company near $800 billion, yet reports indicate targets of $1.75–2 trillion or higher to fund Starlink scaling and Starship development, reflecting robust institutional demand and revenue growth projections. This momentum explains the 63.5% implied probability on the top outcome, while lower brackets capture residual uncertainty around execution risks and market conditions at launch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.0兆ドル以上 64%
1.8兆～2.0兆 12%
1.6兆～1.8兆ドル 8.8%
1.4兆～1.6兆ドル 5.4%
$949,121 Vol.
$949,121 Vol.
2027/12/31
2028年以前に上場なし
2%
1兆ドル未満
5%
1.0兆ドル～1.2兆ドル
2%
1.2兆～1.4兆ドル
3%
1.4兆～1.6兆ドル
5%
1.6兆～1.8兆ドル
9%
1.8兆～2.0兆
12%
2.0兆ドル以上
64%
2.0兆ドル以上 64%
1.8兆～2.0兆 12%
1.6兆～1.8兆ドル 8.8%
1.4兆～1.6兆ドル 5.4%
$949,121 Vol.
$949,121 Vol.
2027/12/31
2028年以前に上場なし
$190,108 Vol.
2%
1兆ドル未満
$76,854 Vol.
5%
1.0兆ドル～1.2兆ドル
$54,098 Vol.
2%
1.2兆～1.4兆ドル
$71,493 Vol.
3%
1.4兆～1.6兆ドル
$116,324 Vol.
5%
1.6兆～1.8兆ドル
$119,292 Vol.
9%
1.8兆～2.0兆
$106,609 Vol.
12%
2.0兆ドル以上
$214,343 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a confidential SEC filing in early April and plans to price as soon as June 11 on Nasdaq following a June 4 roadshow, has solidified trader expectations for a closing market cap at or above $2 trillion. Recent secondary share sales valued the company near $800 billion, yet reports indicate targets of $1.75–2 trillion or higher to fund Starlink scaling and Starship development, reflecting robust institutional demand and revenue growth projections. This momentum explains the 63.5% implied probability on the top outcome, while lower brackets capture residual uncertainty around execution risks and market conditions at launch.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
音量
$949,121終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a confidential SEC filing in early April and plans to price as soon as June 11 on Nasdaq following a June 4 roadshow, has solidified trader expectations for a closing market cap at or above $2 trillion. Recent secondary share sales valued the company near $800 billion, yet reports indicate targets of $1.75–2 trillion or higher to fund Starlink scaling and Starship development, reflecting robust institutional demand and revenue growth projections. This momentum explains the 63.5% implied probability on the top outcome, while lower brackets capture residual uncertainty around execution risks and market conditions at launch.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$949,121終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a confidential SEC filing in early April and plans to price as soon as June 11 on Nasdaq following a June 4 roadshow, has solidified trader expectations for a closing market cap at or above $2 trillion. Recent secondary share sales valued the company near $800 billion, yet reports indicate targets of $1.75–2 trillion or higher to fund Starlink scaling and Starship development, reflecting robust institutional demand and revenue growth projections. This momentum explains the 63.5% implied probability on the top outcome, while lower brackets capture residual uncertainty around execution risks and market conditions at launch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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