Recent seismic catalogs from the USGS record five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through April 2026, clustered along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, Japan, and Malaysia, before a three-week lull. This pace tracks the long-term global average of roughly 15–16 such events per year, driven by steady tectonic plate motion rather than any identifiable short-term trigger. Earthquakes follow a Poisson process with no reliable precursors for near-term forecasting, so traders monitor ongoing USGS real-time catalogs for new magnitude thresholds or epicenter locations. Fresh data releases occur continuously as instruments detect and confirm events, potentially shifting odds if activity resumes or remains quiet through key resolution windows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日また7.0以上の地震が... ？
また7.0以上の地震が... ？
$26,966 Vol.
2026/05/31
5月15日
<1%
5月30日
41%
$26,966 Vol.
5月15日
$4,830 Vol.
<1%
5月30日
$8,889 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic catalogs from the USGS record five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through April 2026, clustered along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, Japan, and Malaysia, before a three-week lull. This pace tracks the long-term global average of roughly 15–16 such events per year, driven by steady tectonic plate motion rather than any identifiable short-term trigger. Earthquakes follow a Poisson process with no reliable precursors for near-term forecasting, so traders monitor ongoing USGS real-time catalogs for new magnitude thresholds or epicenter locations. Fresh data releases occur continuously as instruments detect and confirm events, potentially shifting odds if activity resumes or remains quiet through key resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
マーケット開始日： Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
音量
$26,966終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic catalogs from the USGS record five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through April 2026, clustered along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, Japan, and Malaysia, before a three-week lull. This pace tracks the long-term global average of roughly 15–16 such events per year, driven by steady tectonic plate motion rather than any identifiable short-term trigger. Earthquakes follow a Poisson process with no reliable precursors for near-term forecasting, so traders monitor ongoing USGS real-time catalogs for new magnitude thresholds or epicenter locations. Fresh data releases occur continuously as instruments detect and confirm events, potentially shifting odds if activity resumes or remains quiet through key resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
音量
$26,966終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent seismic catalogs from the USGS record five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through April 2026, clustered along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, Japan, and Malaysia, before a three-week lull. This pace tracks the long-term global average of roughly 15–16 such events per year, driven by steady tectonic plate motion rather than any identifiable short-term trigger. Earthquakes follow a Poisson process with no reliable precursors for near-term forecasting, so traders monitor ongoing USGS real-time catalogs for new magnitude thresholds or epicenter locations. Fresh data releases occur continuously as instruments detect and confirm events, potentially shifting odds if activity resumes or remains quiet through key resolution windows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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