Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate Tokyo will reach a daily maximum of exactly 25 °C today, driving the market-implied probability above 99 percent. Mid-May climatology at the Otemachi station places typical highs between 22–24 °C, while stable high pressure and light southerly flow currently suppress further warming across the Kanto Plain. These conditions align with multiple model runs to keep the official reading locked in that narrow band. Resolution depends on the verified whole-degree maximum reported by JMA at day’s end, so minor forecast adjustments or localized urban heat-island effects remain the only realistic pathways that could shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$117,132 Vol.
$117,132 Vol.
2026/05/16
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$117,132 Vol.
$117,132 Vol.
2026/05/16
25°C
$13,759 Vol.
100%
26°C
$10,478 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13,157 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$19,753 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate Tokyo will reach a daily maximum of exactly 25 °C today, driving the market-implied probability above 99 percent. Mid-May climatology at the Otemachi station places typical highs between 22–24 °C, while stable high pressure and light southerly flow currently suppress further warming across the Kanto Plain. These conditions align with multiple model runs to keep the official reading locked in that narrow band. Resolution depends on the verified whole-degree maximum reported by JMA at day’s end, so minor forecast adjustments or localized urban heat-island effects remain the only realistic pathways that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
音量
$117,132終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate Tokyo will reach a daily maximum of exactly 25 °C today, driving the market-implied probability above 99 percent. Mid-May climatology at the Otemachi station places typical highs between 22–24 °C, while stable high pressure and light southerly flow currently suppress further warming across the Kanto Plain. These conditions align with multiple model runs to keep the official reading locked in that narrow band. Resolution depends on the verified whole-degree maximum reported by JMA at day’s end, so minor forecast adjustments or localized urban heat-island effects remain the only realistic pathways that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$117,132終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate Tokyo will reach a daily maximum of exactly 25 °C today, driving the market-implied probability above 99 percent. Mid-May climatology at the Otemachi station places typical highs between 22–24 °C, while stable high pressure and light southerly flow currently suppress further warming across the Kanto Plain. These conditions align with multiple model runs to keep the official reading locked in that narrow band. Resolution depends on the verified whole-degree maximum reported by JMA at day’s end, so minor forecast adjustments or localized urban heat-island effects remain the only realistic pathways that could shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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