Recent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge building over the Western Cape, supporting a maximum temperature of 21–22 °C on May 18 with limited diurnal variation and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 23 °C or above, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential marine-layer influence. Historical May climatology places average daily highs near 19–20 °C, so the slight positive anomaly currently priced in stems from drier conditions and reduced cloud cover expected through the weekend.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
5月18日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
22℃ 35%
21°C 34%
23°C 16%
20℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/05/18
15℃以下
<1%
16℃
1%
17℃
1%
18℃
1%
19℃
4%
20℃
6%
21°C
34%
22℃
35%
23°C
16%
24℃
4%
25°C以上
1%
22℃ 35%
21°C 34%
23°C 16%
20℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/05/18
15℃以下
$141 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$197 Vol.
1%
17℃
$133 Vol.
1%
18℃
$428 Vol.
1%
19℃
$203 Vol.
4%
20℃
$88 Vol.
6%
21°C
$120 Vol.
34%
22℃
$244 Vol.
35%
23°C
$206 Vol.
16%
24℃
$104 Vol.
4%
25°C以上
$87 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge building over the Western Cape, supporting a maximum temperature of 21–22 °C on May 18 with limited diurnal variation and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 23 °C or above, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential marine-layer influence. Historical May climatology places average daily highs near 19–20 °C, so the slight positive anomaly currently priced in stems from drier conditions and reduced cloud cover expected through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$1,951終了日
2026/05/18マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge building over the Western Cape, supporting a maximum temperature of 21–22 °C on May 18 with limited diurnal variation and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 23 °C or above, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential marine-layer influence. Historical May climatology places average daily highs near 19–20 °C, so the slight positive anomaly currently priced in stems from drier conditions and reduced cloud cover expected through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,951終了日
2026/05/18マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge building over the Western Cape, supporting a maximum temperature of 21–22 °C on May 18 with limited diurnal variation and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 23 °C or above, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential marine-layer influence. Historical May climatology places average daily highs near 19–20 °C, so the slight positive anomaly currently priced in stems from drier conditions and reduced cloud cover expected through the weekend.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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