Traders are assessing the latest ensemble forecasts for Cape Town's maximum temperature on May 17, where outcomes from 19°C to 22°C remain tightly clustered and reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model guidance. The slight lead for 20°C arises from consensus among global and regional models showing moderate influence from the South Atlantic subtropical high, which typically promotes clearer skies and modest daytime warming in autumn, while the Benguela Current continues to suppress coastal temperatures. Model spread centers on the timing and strength of any onshore southeasterly flow or transient low-level moisture, factors that can shift daily highs by 1–3°C within the 48-hour window. New runs from the South African Weather Service and ECMWF are expected before resolution and should narrow the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
5月17日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
20°C 31%
21℃ 25%
19℃ 23%
22℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/05/17
14°C以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19℃
23%
20°C
31%
21℃
25%
22℃
14%
23℃
5%
24℃以上
1%
20°C 31%
21℃ 25%
19℃ 23%
22℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/05/17
14°C以下
$31 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$113 Vol.
1%
17°C
$106 Vol.
3%
18°C
$16 Vol.
5%
19℃
$141 Vol.
23%
20°C
$97 Vol.
31%
21℃
$79 Vol.
25%
22℃
$24 Vol.
14%
23℃
$28 Vol.
5%
24℃以上
$235 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders are assessing the latest ensemble forecasts for Cape Town's maximum temperature on May 17, where outcomes from 19°C to 22°C remain tightly clustered and reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model guidance. The slight lead for 20°C arises from consensus among global and regional models showing moderate influence from the South Atlantic subtropical high, which typically promotes clearer skies and modest daytime warming in autumn, while the Benguela Current continues to suppress coastal temperatures. Model spread centers on the timing and strength of any onshore southeasterly flow or transient low-level moisture, factors that can shift daily highs by 1–3°C within the 48-hour window. New runs from the South African Weather Service and ECMWF are expected before resolution and should narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$966終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders are assessing the latest ensemble forecasts for Cape Town's maximum temperature on May 17, where outcomes from 19°C to 22°C remain tightly clustered and reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model guidance. The slight lead for 20°C arises from consensus among global and regional models showing moderate influence from the South Atlantic subtropical high, which typically promotes clearer skies and modest daytime warming in autumn, while the Benguela Current continues to suppress coastal temperatures. Model spread centers on the timing and strength of any onshore southeasterly flow or transient low-level moisture, factors that can shift daily highs by 1–3°C within the 48-hour window. New runs from the South African Weather Service and ECMWF are expected before resolution and should narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$966終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTraders are assessing the latest ensemble forecasts for Cape Town's maximum temperature on May 17, where outcomes from 19°C to 22°C remain tightly clustered and reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model guidance. The slight lead for 20°C arises from consensus among global and regional models showing moderate influence from the South Atlantic subtropical high, which typically promotes clearer skies and modest daytime warming in autumn, while the Benguela Current continues to suppress coastal temperatures. Model spread centers on the timing and strength of any onshore southeasterly flow or transient low-level moisture, factors that can shift daily highs by 1–3°C within the 48-hour window. New runs from the South African Weather Service and ECMWF are expected before resolution and should narrow the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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