Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs projecting New York City's high temperature at LaGuardia Airport on May 15 in the mid-60s°F range, capped by lingering moisture from May 13-14 rainfall, scattered showers (60-70% probability), and mostly cloudy skies reducing solar insolation. The razor-thin split between 66-67°F (30.5%) and 64-65°F (29.0%) stems from uncertainty in afternoon clearing—persistent overcast and evaporative cooling from showers favor the lower bin, while partial breaks and southerly winds (10-20 mph) mixing milder Atlantic air could push toward the upper. Below-normal temps align with a cool spring pattern; watch NWS updates today for refined shower timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on May 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 15?
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 30%
68-69°F 18%
62-63°F 14%
新規
$10,283 Vol.
新規
$10,283 Vol.
2026/05/15
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 30%
68-69°F 18%
62-63°F 14%
新規
$10,283 Vol.
新規
$10,283 Vol.
2026/05/15
55°F or below
$781 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$367 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$1,199 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$632 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$1,189 Vol.
14%
64-65°F
$762 Vol.
30%
66-67°F
$700 Vol.
31%
68-69°F
$752 Vol.
18%
70-71°F
$1,664 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$641 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$1,674 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs projecting New York City's high temperature at LaGuardia Airport on May 15 in the mid-60s°F range, capped by lingering moisture from May 13-14 rainfall, scattered showers (60-70% probability), and mostly cloudy skies reducing solar insolation. The razor-thin split between 66-67°F (30.5%) and 64-65°F (29.0%) stems from uncertainty in afternoon clearing—persistent overcast and evaporative cooling from showers favor the lower bin, while partial breaks and southerly winds (10-20 mph) mixing milder Atlantic air could push toward the upper. Below-normal temps align with a cool spring pattern; watch NWS updates today for refined shower timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$10,283終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs projecting New York City's high temperature at LaGuardia Airport on May 15 in the mid-60s°F range, capped by lingering moisture from May 13-14 rainfall, scattered showers (60-70% probability), and mostly cloudy skies reducing solar insolation. The razor-thin split between 66-67°F (30.5%) and 64-65°F (29.0%) stems from uncertainty in afternoon clearing—persistent overcast and evaporative cooling from showers favor the lower bin, while partial breaks and southerly winds (10-20 mph) mixing milder Atlantic air could push toward the upper. Below-normal temps align with a cool spring pattern; watch NWS updates today for refined shower timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,283終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs projecting New York City's high temperature at LaGuardia Airport on May 15 in the mid-60s°F range, capped by lingering moisture from May 13-14 rainfall, scattered showers (60-70% probability), and mostly cloudy skies reducing solar insolation. The razor-thin split between 66-67°F (30.5%) and 64-65°F (29.0%) stems from uncertainty in afternoon clearing—persistent overcast and evaporative cooling from showers favor the lower bin, while partial breaks and southerly winds (10-20 mph) mixing milder Atlantic air could push toward the upper. Below-normal temps align with a cool spring pattern; watch NWS updates today for refined shower timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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