National Weather Service forecasts indicate an 86°F high for Atlanta on May 16 under sunny skies and building high pressure, driving trader consensus toward upper-80s outcomes like 86-87°F and 88-89°F at 35.5% implied probabilities each, while 96°F or higher leads at 50% due to anticipated intensification of the warming trend. Recent dry conditions through May 13—observing 80°F amid clear skies—have lowered soil moisture, enhancing daytime heating via reduced evaporative cooling, with subsidence suppressing clouds. Historical May analogs show similar ridges pushing highs 10°F above normals (around 81°F). New GFS and ECMWF runs expected Thursday evening could shift odds amid typical 5-8°F forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 16?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 16?
84-85°F 31%
86-87°F 29%
82-83°F 20%
88-89°F 14%
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 31%
86-87°F 29%
82-83°F 20%
88-89°F 14%
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts indicate an 86°F high for Atlanta on May 16 under sunny skies and building high pressure, driving trader consensus toward upper-80s outcomes like 86-87°F and 88-89°F at 35.5% implied probabilities each, while 96°F or higher leads at 50% due to anticipated intensification of the warming trend. Recent dry conditions through May 13—observing 80°F amid clear skies—have lowered soil moisture, enhancing daytime heating via reduced evaporative cooling, with subsidence suppressing clouds. Historical May analogs show similar ridges pushing highs 10°F above normals (around 81°F). New GFS and ECMWF runs expected Thursday evening could shift odds amid typical 5-8°F forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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