Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 29–31°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity near 60–80% that suppress daytime heating. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance projects a cooler 25°C high with light rain and light easterly winds, while ensemble models like those aggregated on timeanddate.com imply ~30.6°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms (57% precip chance). Recent observations—28°C peaks on May 14–15—have moderated from early-May 31°C highs due to frequent showers reducing insolation; key differentiators include exact cloud amounts and shower timing, with final airport station data resolving the market tomorrow. Watch CMA updates overnight for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
30°C 31%
29°C 26%
31°C 25%
32°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/05/16
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
26%
30°C
31%
31°C
25%
32°C
15%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
29°C 26%
31°C 25%
32°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/05/16
26°C or below
$1,264 Vol.
1%
27°C
$316 Vol.
2%
28°C
$409 Vol.
7%
29°C
$344 Vol.
26%
30°C
$402 Vol.
31%
31°C
$469 Vol.
25%
32°C
$580 Vol.
15%
33°C
$364 Vol.
1%
34°C
$415 Vol.
1%
35°C
$316 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$386 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 29–31°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity near 60–80% that suppress daytime heating. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance projects a cooler 25°C high with light rain and light easterly winds, while ensemble models like those aggregated on timeanddate.com imply ~30.6°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms (57% precip chance). Recent observations—28°C peaks on May 14–15—have moderated from early-May 31°C highs due to frequent showers reducing insolation; key differentiators include exact cloud amounts and shower timing, with final airport station data resolving the market tomorrow. Watch CMA updates overnight for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
音量
$5,266終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 29–31°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity near 60–80% that suppress daytime heating. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance projects a cooler 25°C high with light rain and light easterly winds, while ensemble models like those aggregated on timeanddate.com imply ~30.6°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms (57% precip chance). Recent observations—28°C peaks on May 14–15—have moderated from early-May 31°C highs due to frequent showers reducing insolation; key differentiators include exact cloud amounts and shower timing, with final airport station data resolving the market tomorrow. Watch CMA updates overnight for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,266終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 29–31°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity near 60–80% that suppress daytime heating. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance projects a cooler 25°C high with light rain and light easterly winds, while ensemble models like those aggregated on timeanddate.com imply ~30.6°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms (57% precip chance). Recent observations—28°C peaks on May 14–15—have moderated from early-May 31°C highs due to frequent showers reducing insolation; key differentiators include exact cloud amounts and shower timing, with final airport station data resolving the market tomorrow. Watch CMA updates overnight for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問