MetService's latest forecast, issued late May 14, projects a daytime high of 13°C at Wellington under persistent southeasterly winds carrying cool maritime air, with mainly fine conditions but a chance of evening showers—reinforcing the market's strong tilt toward sub-15°C outcomes. Trader consensus favors 14°C at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting May climatological averages near 14°C (historical mean maximum 14.6°C) and recent airport observations often edging above central city forecasts due to exposure. Recent southerly strengthening on May 14 has deepened the cool bias observed in prior days, yet model ensembles show variability around 13–14°C. Resolution uses Wellington International Airport's official high; monitor morning updates from MetService for potential refinements as upper-air data evolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
14°C 56%
13°C 30%
15°C 9%
16°C 5.6%
新規
$24,875 Vol.
新規
$24,875 Vol.
2026/05/15
12°C
4%
13°C
30%
14°C
56%
15°C
9%
16°C
6%
17°C or higher
1%
14°C 56%
13°C 30%
15°C 9%
16°C 5.6%
新規
$24,875 Vol.
新規
$24,875 Vol.
2026/05/15
12°C
$3,397 Vol.
4%
13°C
$2,434 Vol.
30%
14°C
$1,840 Vol.
56%
15°C
$2,678 Vol.
9%
16°C
$4,490 Vol.
6%
17°C or higher
$1,786 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued late May 14, projects a daytime high of 13°C at Wellington under persistent southeasterly winds carrying cool maritime air, with mainly fine conditions but a chance of evening showers—reinforcing the market's strong tilt toward sub-15°C outcomes. Trader consensus favors 14°C at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting May climatological averages near 14°C (historical mean maximum 14.6°C) and recent airport observations often edging above central city forecasts due to exposure. Recent southerly strengthening on May 14 has deepened the cool bias observed in prior days, yet model ensembles show variability around 13–14°C. Resolution uses Wellington International Airport's official high; monitor morning updates from MetService for potential refinements as upper-air data evolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$24,875終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued late May 14, projects a daytime high of 13°C at Wellington under persistent southeasterly winds carrying cool maritime air, with mainly fine conditions but a chance of evening showers—reinforcing the market's strong tilt toward sub-15°C outcomes. Trader consensus favors 14°C at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting May climatological averages near 14°C (historical mean maximum 14.6°C) and recent airport observations often edging above central city forecasts due to exposure. Recent southerly strengthening on May 14 has deepened the cool bias observed in prior days, yet model ensembles show variability around 13–14°C. Resolution uses Wellington International Airport's official high; monitor morning updates from MetService for potential refinements as upper-air data evolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$24,875終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETMetService's latest forecast, issued late May 14, projects a daytime high of 13°C at Wellington under persistent southeasterly winds carrying cool maritime air, with mainly fine conditions but a chance of evening showers—reinforcing the market's strong tilt toward sub-15°C outcomes. Trader consensus favors 14°C at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting May climatological averages near 14°C (historical mean maximum 14.6°C) and recent airport observations often edging above central city forecasts due to exposure. Recent southerly strengthening on May 14 has deepened the cool bias observed in prior days, yet model ensembles show variability around 13–14°C. Resolution uses Wellington International Airport's official high; monitor morning updates from MetService for potential refinements as upper-air data evolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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