Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest among 36°C (21%), 37°C (30.5%), and 38°C (20.5%) for Jeddah's May 16 high temperature, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty after thunderstorms swept the region on May 12, temporarily cooling conditions per National Center for Meteorology (NCM) reports. With high pressure now rebuilding over the Arabian Peninsula, clear skies and hazy sunshine are expected, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, the likely resolution station. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing from the Red Sea—early onset favoring 36°C via coastal moderation, delayed allowing 38°C peaks—and variable haze reducing insolation; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show this 1-2°C spread. Overnight model updates from NCM will refine odds ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 16?
37°C 32%
38°C 26%
36°C 20%
39°C or higher 18%
$10,975 Vol.
$10,975 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
6%
36°C
20%
37°C
32%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
18%
37°C 32%
38°C 26%
36°C 20%
39°C or higher 18%
$10,975 Vol.
$10,975 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
6%
36°C
20%
37°C
32%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest among 36°C (21%), 37°C (30.5%), and 38°C (20.5%) for Jeddah's May 16 high temperature, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty after thunderstorms swept the region on May 12, temporarily cooling conditions per National Center for Meteorology (NCM) reports. With high pressure now rebuilding over the Arabian Peninsula, clear skies and hazy sunshine are expected, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, the likely resolution station. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing from the Red Sea—early onset favoring 36°C via coastal moderation, delayed allowing 38°C peaks—and variable haze reducing insolation; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show this 1-2°C spread. Overnight model updates from NCM will refine odds ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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