Latest ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF project afternoon highs of 16–17°C in Helsinki on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around those two outcomes. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, solar insolation duration, and thin high-cloud timing create the narrow spread that separates 16°C from 17°C, while May climatology near 15°C and recent spring warmth anomalies support the elevated probabilities. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport, with the next FMI briefing tomorrow morning likely to refine any last adjustments before peak heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のヘルシンキの最高気温は?
16°C 33%
17°C 32%
15°C 19%
14°C 8.7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
19%
16°C
33%
17°C
32%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
2%
16°C 33%
17°C 32%
15°C 19%
14°C 8.7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
19%
16°C
33%
17°C
32%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF project afternoon highs of 16–17°C in Helsinki on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around those two outcomes. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, solar insolation duration, and thin high-cloud timing create the narrow spread that separates 16°C from 17°C, while May climatology near 15°C and recent spring warmth anomalies support the elevated probabilities. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport, with the next FMI briefing tomorrow morning likely to refine any last adjustments before peak heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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