Trader consensus on Polymarket places a 38% implied probability on 25°C or below as Beijing's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which project overcast conditions with light rain and highs of 25–27°C. This cooling from recent highs near 32–33°C on May 14–15 stems from an approaching upper-level trough introducing cooler easterly flow, increased cloud cover, and precipitation potential that suppresses daytime heating. Timeanddate.com and AccuWeather align around 27°C (81°F) peaks amid 45–57% rain chances, consistent with May climatology averages of 26°C. New model runs expected May 15 could refine these odds as the front nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月16日の北京の最高気温は？
5月16日の北京の最高気温は？
25°C以下 40%
26℃ 22%
27°C 16%
28℃ 12%
新規
$16,284 Vol.
新規
$16,284 Vol.
2026/05/16
25°C以下
40%
26℃
22%
27°C
16%
28℃
12%
29°C
4%
30℃
2%
31℃
1%
32℃
1%
33°C
1%
34℃
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
25°C以下 40%
26℃ 22%
27°C 16%
28℃ 12%
新規
$16,284 Vol.
新規
$16,284 Vol.
2026/05/16
25°C以下
$1,512 Vol.
40%
26℃
$867 Vol.
22%
27°C
$1,010 Vol.
16%
28℃
$802 Vol.
12%
29°C
$970 Vol.
4%
30℃
$2,065 Vol.
2%
31℃
$701 Vol.
1%
32℃
$966 Vol.
1%
33°C
$5,387 Vol.
1%
34℃
$1,167 Vol.
<1%
35℃以上
$837 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket places a 38% implied probability on 25°C or below as Beijing's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which project overcast conditions with light rain and highs of 25–27°C. This cooling from recent highs near 32–33°C on May 14–15 stems from an approaching upper-level trough introducing cooler easterly flow, increased cloud cover, and precipitation potential that suppresses daytime heating. Timeanddate.com and AccuWeather align around 27°C (81°F) peaks amid 45–57% rain chances, consistent with May climatology averages of 26°C. New model runs expected May 15 could refine these odds as the front nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
音量
$16,284終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket places a 38% implied probability on 25°C or below as Beijing's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which project overcast conditions with light rain and highs of 25–27°C. This cooling from recent highs near 32–33°C on May 14–15 stems from an approaching upper-level trough introducing cooler easterly flow, increased cloud cover, and precipitation potential that suppresses daytime heating. Timeanddate.com and AccuWeather align around 27°C (81°F) peaks amid 45–57% rain chances, consistent with May climatology averages of 26°C. New model runs expected May 15 could refine these odds as the front nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$16,284終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket places a 38% implied probability on 25°C or below as Beijing's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which project overcast conditions with light rain and highs of 25–27°C. This cooling from recent highs near 32–33°C on May 14–15 stems from an approaching upper-level trough introducing cooler easterly flow, increased cloud cover, and precipitation potential that suppresses daytime heating. Timeanddate.com and AccuWeather align around 27°C (81°F) peaks amid 45–57% rain chances, consistent with May climatology averages of 26°C. New model runs expected May 15 could refine these odds as the front nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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