Mexico City's highest temperature on May 16 is expected to reach 26–28°C according to the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecast, aligning with ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF that incorporates persistent high-pressure ridging and strong diurnal heating from intense solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent observations confirm similar maxima of 26–29°C over the prior two days, consistent with May climatology averages near 26°C at Benito Juárez International Airport and minimal risk of sub-24°C outcomes given current atmospheric stability. While prolonged afternoon showers could increase cloud cover and suppress peak values, model guidance assigns this low probability; official hourly observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
24°C or higher 99.7%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
23°C <1%
$29,626 Vol.
$29,626 Vol.
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
100%
24°C or higher 99.7%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
23°C <1%
$29,626 Vol.
$29,626 Vol.
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mexico City's highest temperature on May 16 is expected to reach 26–28°C according to the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecast, aligning with ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF that incorporates persistent high-pressure ridging and strong diurnal heating from intense solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent observations confirm similar maxima of 26–29°C over the prior two days, consistent with May climatology averages near 26°C at Benito Juárez International Airport and minimal risk of sub-24°C outcomes given current atmospheric stability. While prolonged afternoon showers could increase cloud cover and suppress peak values, model guidance assigns this low probability; official hourly observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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