Current forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum of 27–28°C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and strong solar insolation typical of late-spring conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatological averages of 26–27°C highs at Benito Juárez International Airport and recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–16, supporting the market's 79.5% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Model consensus shows only modest afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress temperatures below threshold, though any unexpected convective development could introduce minor downward pressure. Final hourly observations on May 18 will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
27°C or higher 74%
26°C 15%
25°C 12%
24°C 7%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
12%
26°C
15%
27°C or higher
80%
27°C or higher 74%
26°C 15%
25°C 12%
24°C 7%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
12%
26°C
15%
27°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum of 27–28°C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and strong solar insolation typical of late-spring conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatological averages of 26–27°C highs at Benito Juárez International Airport and recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–16, supporting the market's 79.5% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Model consensus shows only modest afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress temperatures below threshold, though any unexpected convective development could introduce minor downward pressure. Final hourly observations on May 18 will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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