National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus have locked in a daily maximum of 68–69°F at Los Angeles International Airport for May 15, producing the near-certain market-implied odds for that narrow band. Persistent onshore flow and a well-established marine layer have capped afternoon heating by maintaining stable stratification and limiting vertical mixing, a pattern reinforced by cooler sea-surface temperatures observed in recent satellite and buoy data. This setup aligns with typical May coastal climatology, where average highs near the shoreline rarely exceed 72°F. Only a late-day shift to stronger offshore winds or unexpectedly delayed stratus clearance could push readings into the 70°F range, outcomes the latest guidance assigns very low probability. Resolution rests on the official end-of-day reading at the primary station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 15?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 15?
68-69°F 99.8%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
74°F or higher <1%
$69,706 Vol.
$69,706 Vol.
2026/05/15
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 99.8%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
74°F or higher <1%
$69,706 Vol.
$69,706 Vol.
2026/05/15
68-69°F
$14,096 Vol.
100%
70-71°F
$7,842 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$3,773 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$7,809 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus have locked in a daily maximum of 68–69°F at Los Angeles International Airport for May 15, producing the near-certain market-implied odds for that narrow band. Persistent onshore flow and a well-established marine layer have capped afternoon heating by maintaining stable stratification and limiting vertical mixing, a pattern reinforced by cooler sea-surface temperatures observed in recent satellite and buoy data. This setup aligns with typical May coastal climatology, where average highs near the shoreline rarely exceed 72°F. Only a late-day shift to stronger offshore winds or unexpectedly delayed stratus clearance could push readings into the 70°F range, outcomes the latest guidance assigns very low probability. Resolution rests on the official end-of-day reading at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
音量
$69,706終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus have locked in a daily maximum of 68–69°F at Los Angeles International Airport for May 15, producing the near-certain market-implied odds for that narrow band. Persistent onshore flow and a well-established marine layer have capped afternoon heating by maintaining stable stratification and limiting vertical mixing, a pattern reinforced by cooler sea-surface temperatures observed in recent satellite and buoy data. This setup aligns with typical May coastal climatology, where average highs near the shoreline rarely exceed 72°F. Only a late-day shift to stronger offshore winds or unexpectedly delayed stratus clearance could push readings into the 70°F range, outcomes the latest guidance assigns very low probability. Resolution rests on the official end-of-day reading at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$69,706終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus have locked in a daily maximum of 68–69°F at Los Angeles International Airport for May 15, producing the near-certain market-implied odds for that narrow band. Persistent onshore flow and a well-established marine layer have capped afternoon heating by maintaining stable stratification and limiting vertical mixing, a pattern reinforced by cooler sea-surface temperatures observed in recent satellite and buoy data. This setup aligns with typical May coastal climatology, where average highs near the shoreline rarely exceed 72°F. Only a late-day shift to stronger offshore winds or unexpectedly delayed stratus clearance could push readings into the 70°F range, outcomes the latest guidance assigns very low probability. Resolution rests on the official end-of-day reading at the primary station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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