Current forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies converge on a daily maximum near 34–35 °C for Manila on May 17, reflecting the peak of the hot-dry season when solar insolation is strong and monsoon onset remains delayed. Subtle differences between leading outcomes hinge on expected afternoon cloud build-up and light wind speeds that could limit or enhance daytime heating by 1 °C, while recent heat-index readings above 40 °C underscore persistently high humidity without altering air-temperature thresholds. Historical climatology shows May maxima averaging 33–34 °C, so traders price the narrow 34–35 °C band as the most probable range given stable steering patterns and absence of significant rainfall in the latest model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のマニラの最高気温は？
5月17日のマニラの最高気温は？
35℃ 41%
34℃ 39%
33°C 12%
36°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/05/17
29°C以下
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
12%
34℃
39%
35℃
41%
36°C
4%
37℃
1%
38℃
1%
39°C以上
<1%
35℃ 41%
34℃ 39%
33°C 12%
36°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/05/17
29°C以下
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$514 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$457 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$339 Vol.
1%
33°C
$613 Vol.
12%
34℃
$482 Vol.
39%
35℃
$662 Vol.
41%
36°C
$880 Vol.
4%
37℃
$531 Vol.
1%
38℃
$302 Vol.
1%
39°C以上
$223 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies converge on a daily maximum near 34–35 °C for Manila on May 17, reflecting the peak of the hot-dry season when solar insolation is strong and monsoon onset remains delayed. Subtle differences between leading outcomes hinge on expected afternoon cloud build-up and light wind speeds that could limit or enhance daytime heating by 1 °C, while recent heat-index readings above 40 °C underscore persistently high humidity without altering air-temperature thresholds. Historical climatology shows May maxima averaging 33–34 °C, so traders price the narrow 34–35 °C band as the most probable range given stable steering patterns and absence of significant rainfall in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$6,054終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies converge on a daily maximum near 34–35 °C for Manila on May 17, reflecting the peak of the hot-dry season when solar insolation is strong and monsoon onset remains delayed. Subtle differences between leading outcomes hinge on expected afternoon cloud build-up and light wind speeds that could limit or enhance daytime heating by 1 °C, while recent heat-index readings above 40 °C underscore persistently high humidity without altering air-temperature thresholds. Historical climatology shows May maxima averaging 33–34 °C, so traders price the narrow 34–35 °C band as the most probable range given stable steering patterns and absence of significant rainfall in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$6,054終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETCurrent forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies converge on a daily maximum near 34–35 °C for Manila on May 17, reflecting the peak of the hot-dry season when solar insolation is strong and monsoon onset remains delayed. Subtle differences between leading outcomes hinge on expected afternoon cloud build-up and light wind speeds that could limit or enhance daytime heating by 1 °C, while recent heat-index readings above 40 °C underscore persistently high humidity without altering air-temperature thresholds. Historical climatology shows May maxima averaging 33–34 °C, so traders price the narrow 34–35 °C band as the most probable range given stable steering patterns and absence of significant rainfall in the latest model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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