Recent forecasts from European weather models indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on May 16 will likely peak between 20°C and 21°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system bringing clear skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-spring solar heating over the central meseta. Minor model disagreements center on the precise timing of peak insolation and slight variations in boundary-layer mixing, which could nudge the daily high by 1°C either way. Historical May averages near 22°C provide context, yet current conditions reflect a modest cooling influence from recent Atlantic air intrusions, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around these two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 22°C or cooler readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
21°C 37%
20°C 36%
22°C 18%
19°C 11%
$28,135 Vol.
$28,135 Vol.
2026/05/16
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
36%
21°C
37%
22°C
18%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 37%
20°C 36%
22°C 18%
19°C 11%
$28,135 Vol.
$28,135 Vol.
2026/05/16
15°C or below
$3,259 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,064 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5,138 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,704 Vol.
3%
19°C
$1,953 Vol.
11%
20°C
$2,012 Vol.
36%
21°C
$2,714 Vol.
37%
22°C
$1,641 Vol.
18%
23°C
$1,661 Vol.
3%
24°C
$1,556 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$1,913 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from European weather models indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on May 16 will likely peak between 20°C and 21°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system bringing clear skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-spring solar heating over the central meseta. Minor model disagreements center on the precise timing of peak insolation and slight variations in boundary-layer mixing, which could nudge the daily high by 1°C either way. Historical May averages near 22°C provide context, yet current conditions reflect a modest cooling influence from recent Atlantic air intrusions, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around these two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 22°C or cooler readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$28,135終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from European weather models indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on May 16 will likely peak between 20°C and 21°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system bringing clear skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-spring solar heating over the central meseta. Minor model disagreements center on the precise timing of peak insolation and slight variations in boundary-layer mixing, which could nudge the daily high by 1°C either way. Historical May averages near 22°C provide context, yet current conditions reflect a modest cooling influence from recent Atlantic air intrusions, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around these two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 22°C or cooler readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$28,135終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETRecent forecasts from European weather models indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on May 16 will likely peak between 20°C and 21°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system bringing clear skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-spring solar heating over the central meseta. Minor model disagreements center on the precise timing of peak insolation and slight variations in boundary-layer mixing, which could nudge the daily high by 1°C either way. Historical May averages near 22°C provide context, yet current conditions reflect a modest cooling influence from recent Atlantic air intrusions, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around these two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 22°C or cooler readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問