Latest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
5月18日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
88°F or higher 42%
86-87°F 35%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/05/18
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
35%
88°F or higher
52%
88°F or higher 42%
86-87°F 35%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/05/18
69°F or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$346 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$507 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$517 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$522 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$15 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$15 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$4 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$16 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$46 Vol.
35%
88°F or higher
$34 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$2,027終了日
2026/05/18マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,027終了日
2026/05/18マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問