Recent KNMI and ECMWF model guidance points to a persistent cool maritime air mass over the North Sea, with northwest winds near force 3-4 expected to limit daytime heating and produce variable cloud cover with scattered showers on May 18. Ensemble spreads from GFS show maximum temperatures clustering between 14–16 °C at Schiphol, consistent with recent days’ observed peaks 3–5 °C below the long-term May average of 16–18 °C. Light precipitation and reduced insolation are the dominant factors narrowing the distribution around the 14 °C and 15 °C bins, while any afternoon clearing could push readings toward 16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?
15°C 35%
14°C 31%
16°C 28%
13°C 11%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
10%
14°C
34%
15°C
35%
16°C
28%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
2%
15°C 35%
14°C 31%
16°C 28%
13°C 11%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
10%
14°C
34%
15°C
35%
16°C
28%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent KNMI and ECMWF model guidance points to a persistent cool maritime air mass over the North Sea, with northwest winds near force 3-4 expected to limit daytime heating and produce variable cloud cover with scattered showers on May 18. Ensemble spreads from GFS show maximum temperatures clustering between 14–16 °C at Schiphol, consistent with recent days’ observed peaks 3–5 °C below the long-term May average of 16–18 °C. Light precipitation and reduced insolation are the dominant factors narrowing the distribution around the 14 °C and 15 °C bins, while any afternoon clearing could push readings toward 16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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