Current forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and ensemble models points to a maximum temperature of 14–15 °C in London today, with the market split nearly evenly between these outcomes because afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers will limit solar heating. A mild westerly flow is bringing Atlantic air across southern England, keeping overnight lows near 8–10 °C while daytime peaks depend on the exact timing of thicker cloud arriving from the west. Historical May averages for the region hover around 17 °C, so today’s subdued readings reflect a temporary suppression of radiative warming rather than a broader seasonal shift. Updated model runs later this morning and real-time observations from central London stations will determine whether brief sunny intervals allow a brief climb to 15 °C or cap readings at 14 °C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月16日のロンドンの最高気温は?
14℃ 54%
15°C 38%
16℃ 6%
17°C 1.0%
$131,606 Vol.
$131,606 Vol.
13℃
<1%
14℃
54%
15°C
38%
16℃
6%
17°C
1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C以上
<1%
14℃ 54%
15°C 38%
16℃ 6%
17°C 1.0%
$131,606 Vol.
$131,606 Vol.
13℃
<1%
14℃
54%
15°C
38%
16℃
6%
17°C
1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Current forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and ensemble models points to a maximum temperature of 14–15 °C in London today, with the market split nearly evenly between these outcomes because afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers will limit solar heating. A mild westerly flow is bringing Atlantic air across southern England, keeping overnight lows near 8–10 °C while daytime peaks depend on the exact timing of thicker cloud arriving from the west. Historical May averages for the region hover around 17 °C, so today’s subdued readings reflect a temporary suppression of radiative warming rather than a broader seasonal shift. Updated model runs later this morning and real-time observations from central London stations will determine whether brief sunny intervals allow a brief climb to 15 °C or cap readings at 14 °C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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