Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a daytime maximum of 15–17 °C across London on May 18 under a cool northwesterly flow, with patchy rain and broken cloud limiting solar heating and keeping peaks from reaching the seasonal 16–18 °C average. This pattern has concentrated trader sentiment on 14–16 °C outcomes, as any increase in cloud cover or shower activity could cap the high at 14–15 °C while brief clearer intervals allow a brief 16 °C spike. Model consensus remains tight within a 2 °C range, reflecting typical mid-May variability in the region, with final resolution dependent on official observations from central London stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のロンドンの最高気温は?
16°C 32%
15°C 31%
14°C 25%
17°C 7%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
25%
15°C
31%
16°C
32%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
6%
16°C 32%
15°C 31%
14°C 25%
17°C 7%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
25%
15°C
31%
16°C
32%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a daytime maximum of 15–17 °C across London on May 18 under a cool northwesterly flow, with patchy rain and broken cloud limiting solar heating and keeping peaks from reaching the seasonal 16–18 °C average. This pattern has concentrated trader sentiment on 14–16 °C outcomes, as any increase in cloud cover or shower activity could cap the high at 14–15 °C while brief clearer intervals allow a brief 16 °C spike. Model consensus remains tight within a 2 °C range, reflecting typical mid-May variability in the region, with final resolution dependent on official observations from central London stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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