Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Tokyo's May 16 lowest temperature, with 16°C (31.5%) edging 15°C (28.0%) amid ensemble spreads from Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), GFS, and ECMWF projections ranging 14-17°C. The JMA's latest update calls for sunny intervals with clouds, a daytime high near 28°C, and overnight low around 17°C under light winds favoring radiative cooling, but global models suggest slightly cooler outcomes due to clearer skies and upper-level trough influences lingering from recent cooler nights (e.g., May 15 implied low near 14°C). Climatological May 16 minimum averages 14.7°C; watch JMA's evening briefing for refined guidance as observations refine boundary layer stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月16日の東京の最低気温は？
5月16日の東京の最低気温は？
15℃ 32%
16℃ 32%
17℃ 12%
14℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/05/16
13℃以下
1%
14℃
20%
15℃
28%
16℃
32%
17℃
19%
18°C
5%
19℃
1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C以上
<1%
15℃ 32%
16℃ 32%
17℃ 12%
14℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/05/16
13℃以下
$330 Vol.
1%
14℃
$20 Vol.
20%
15℃
$190 Vol.
28%
16℃
$38 Vol.
32%
17℃
$75 Vol.
19%
18°C
$108 Vol.
5%
19℃
$94 Vol.
1%
20℃
$1,043 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$671 Vol.
<1%
23°C以上
$767 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Tokyo's May 16 lowest temperature, with 16°C (31.5%) edging 15°C (28.0%) amid ensemble spreads from Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), GFS, and ECMWF projections ranging 14-17°C. The JMA's latest update calls for sunny intervals with clouds, a daytime high near 28°C, and overnight low around 17°C under light winds favoring radiative cooling, but global models suggest slightly cooler outcomes due to clearer skies and upper-level trough influences lingering from recent cooler nights (e.g., May 15 implied low near 14°C). Climatological May 16 minimum averages 14.7°C; watch JMA's evening briefing for refined guidance as observations refine boundary layer stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$3,446終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Tokyo's May 16 lowest temperature, with 16°C (31.5%) edging 15°C (28.0%) amid ensemble spreads from Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), GFS, and ECMWF projections ranging 14-17°C. The JMA's latest update calls for sunny intervals with clouds, a daytime high near 28°C, and overnight low around 17°C under light winds favoring radiative cooling, but global models suggest slightly cooler outcomes due to clearer skies and upper-level trough influences lingering from recent cooler nights (e.g., May 15 implied low near 14°C). Climatological May 16 minimum averages 14.7°C; watch JMA's evening briefing for refined guidance as observations refine boundary layer stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,446終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Tokyo's May 16 lowest temperature, with 16°C (31.5%) edging 15°C (28.0%) amid ensemble spreads from Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), GFS, and ECMWF projections ranging 14-17°C. The JMA's latest update calls for sunny intervals with clouds, a daytime high near 28°C, and overnight low around 17°C under light winds favoring radiative cooling, but global models suggest slightly cooler outcomes due to clearer skies and upper-level trough influences lingering from recent cooler nights (e.g., May 15 implied low near 14°C). Climatological May 16 minimum averages 14.7°C; watch JMA's evening briefing for refined guidance as observations refine boundary layer stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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