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icon for 5月19日のマイアミの最低気温は？

5月19日のマイアミの最低気温は？

icon for 5月19日のマイアミの最低気温は？

5月19日のマイアミの最低気温は？

5月 15

5月 16

5月 17

5月 18

5月 15

5月 16

5月 17

5月 18

73°F以下 40%

78〜79°F 24%

82〜83°F 20%

80〜81°F 19%

Polymarket
新規

73°F以下 40%

78〜79°F 24%

82〜83°F 20%

80〜81°F 19%

Polymarket
新規

73°F以下

$0 Vol.

40%

74～75°F

$0 Vol.

12%

76〜77°F

$0 Vol.

18%

78〜79°F

$0 Vol.

24%

80〜81°F

$0 Vol.

19%

82〜83°F

$0 Vol.

20%

84〜85°F

$0 Vol.

15%

86～87°F

$20 Vol.

5%

88〜89°F

$296 Vol.

4%

90〜91°F

$271 Vol.

1%

華氏92度以上

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$587
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

結算ソース

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$587
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

結算ソース

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「5月19日のマイアミの最低気温は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「73°F以下」で40%、次いで「78〜79°F」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、40¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に40%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「5月19日のマイアミの最低気温は？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 15, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「5月19日のマイアミの最低気温は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「5月19日のマイアミの最低気温は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「73°F以下」で40%であり、市場がこの結果に40%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「78〜79°F」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「5月19日のマイアミの最低気温は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。