Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のマイアミの最低気温は?
5月17日のマイアミの最低気温は?
78~79°F 37%
73°F以下 31.9%
82〜83°F 18%
76〜77°F 15%
73°F以下
32%
74~75°F
8%
76〜77°F
15%
78~79°F
37%
80〜81°F
19%
82〜83°F
18%
84〜85°F
2%
86~87°F
8%
88~89°F
1%
90~91°F
1%
92°F以上
<1%
78~79°F 37%
73°F以下 31.9%
82〜83°F 18%
76〜77°F 15%
73°F以下
32%
74~75°F
8%
76〜77°F
15%
78~79°F
37%
80〜81°F
19%
82〜83°F
18%
84〜85°F
2%
86~87°F
8%
88~89°F
1%
90~91°F
1%
92°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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