The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high near 84°F today, propelling the market-implied 80.5% probability for 74°F or higher amid south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph driving warm air advection under a developing upper-level ridge. Model consensus from recent runs supports this above-normal outlook—May 15 climatological highs average around 71°F—though potential afternoon showers or thunderstorms could temper peaks, with traders assigning 15% odds to 72-73°F if a lake breeze moderates onshore flow. Ongoing hourly observations and NWS updates through evening will refine resolution based on the official highest temperature reading at O'Hare.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
74°F or higher 80%
72-73°F 17%
70-71°F 3.1%
68-69°F <1%
$74,655 Vol.
$74,655 Vol.
2026/05/15
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
17%
74°F or higher
80%
74°F or higher 80%
72-73°F 17%
70-71°F 3.1%
68-69°F <1%
$74,655 Vol.
$74,655 Vol.
2026/05/15
55°F or below
$18,682 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,731 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$6,803 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$4,891 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$5,805 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$4,773 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$7,268 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5,569 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$4,774 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$4,830 Vol.
17%
74°F or higher
$7,543 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high near 84°F today, propelling the market-implied 80.5% probability for 74°F or higher amid south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph driving warm air advection under a developing upper-level ridge. Model consensus from recent runs supports this above-normal outlook—May 15 climatological highs average around 71°F—though potential afternoon showers or thunderstorms could temper peaks, with traders assigning 15% odds to 72-73°F if a lake breeze moderates onshore flow. Ongoing hourly observations and NWS updates through evening will refine resolution based on the official highest temperature reading at O'Hare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$74,655終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high near 84°F today, propelling the market-implied 80.5% probability for 74°F or higher amid south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph driving warm air advection under a developing upper-level ridge. Model consensus from recent runs supports this above-normal outlook—May 15 climatological highs average around 71°F—though potential afternoon showers or thunderstorms could temper peaks, with traders assigning 15% odds to 72-73°F if a lake breeze moderates onshore flow. Ongoing hourly observations and NWS updates through evening will refine resolution based on the official highest temperature reading at O'Hare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$74,655終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThe National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high near 84°F today, propelling the market-implied 80.5% probability for 74°F or higher amid south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph driving warm air advection under a developing upper-level ridge. Model consensus from recent runs supports this above-normal outlook—May 15 climatological highs average around 71°F—though potential afternoon showers or thunderstorms could temper peaks, with traders assigning 15% odds to 72-73°F if a lake breeze moderates onshore flow. Ongoing hourly observations and NWS updates through evening will refine resolution based on the official highest temperature reading at O'Hare.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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