Current forecasts from meteorological models and official monitoring indicate a high of 25°C in Hong Kong today, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limits solar heating and keeps maximum temperatures below seasonal norms. May typically sees average highs near 28–29°C as subtropical conditions strengthen, yet today’s atmospheric setup—with elevated moisture and suppressed instability—favors the lower end of the range. Recent model runs show consensus around this value, with only modest upside risk if skies clear earlier than expected. Traders have aligned heavily with 25°C at an 84% implied probability, reflecting the strong alignment between observed conditions and resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 92.6%
26°C 7%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$174,747 Vol.
$174,747 Vol.
2026/05/16
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
93%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 92.6%
26°C 7%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$174,747 Vol.
$174,747 Vol.
2026/05/16
19°C or below
$18,062 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$11,652 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$11,892 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,753 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$36,362 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$25,773 Vol.
93%
26°C
$12,168 Vol.
7%
27°C
$18,819 Vol.
1%
28°C
$12,233 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$18,324 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models and official monitoring indicate a high of 25°C in Hong Kong today, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limits solar heating and keeps maximum temperatures below seasonal norms. May typically sees average highs near 28–29°C as subtropical conditions strengthen, yet today’s atmospheric setup—with elevated moisture and suppressed instability—favors the lower end of the range. Recent model runs show consensus around this value, with only modest upside risk if skies clear earlier than expected. Traders have aligned heavily with 25°C at an 84% implied probability, reflecting the strong alignment between observed conditions and resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
音量
$174,747終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models and official monitoring indicate a high of 25°C in Hong Kong today, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limits solar heating and keeps maximum temperatures below seasonal norms. May typically sees average highs near 28–29°C as subtropical conditions strengthen, yet today’s atmospheric setup—with elevated moisture and suppressed instability—favors the lower end of the range. Recent model runs show consensus around this value, with only modest upside risk if skies clear earlier than expected. Traders have aligned heavily with 25°C at an 84% implied probability, reflecting the strong alignment between observed conditions and resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$174,747終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models and official monitoring indicate a high of 25°C in Hong Kong today, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limits solar heating and keeps maximum temperatures below seasonal norms. May typically sees average highs near 28–29°C as subtropical conditions strengthen, yet today’s atmospheric setup—with elevated moisture and suppressed instability—favors the lower end of the range. Recent model runs show consensus around this value, with only modest upside risk if skies clear earlier than expected. Traders have aligned heavily with 25°C at an 84% implied probability, reflecting the strong alignment between observed conditions and resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問