Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for mid-May point to maximum temperatures of 34–37°C in Karachi, driven by pre-monsoon continental heating from northwest air masses offset by moderating sea breezes off the Arabian Sea. This equilibrium creates the tight clustering around 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C-plus outcomes, as variable wind speeds and high humidity levels can shift daily peaks by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 35°C, with the current setup tracking normal absent any strong heatwave signal. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates from the PMD and observed sea-surface temperatures, which will determine whether land heating or marine influence dominates on May 18.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のカラチの最高気温は?
36°C以上 36%
34℃ 34%
35°C 28%
33°C 8%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
1%
31°C
1%
32℃
3%
33°C
8%
34℃
34%
35°C
28%
36°C以上
36%
36°C以上 36%
34℃ 34%
35°C 28%
33°C 8%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
1%
31°C
1%
32℃
3%
33°C
8%
34℃
34%
35°C
28%
36°C以上
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for mid-May point to maximum temperatures of 34–37°C in Karachi, driven by pre-monsoon continental heating from northwest air masses offset by moderating sea breezes off the Arabian Sea. This equilibrium creates the tight clustering around 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C-plus outcomes, as variable wind speeds and high humidity levels can shift daily peaks by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 35°C, with the current setup tracking normal absent any strong heatwave signal. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates from the PMD and observed sea-surface temperatures, which will determine whether land heating or marine influence dominates on May 18.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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