Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a likely dip in Shanghai's overnight low to 15°C or below on May 20, driven by increased cloud cover and a brief northerly flow that enhances radiative cooling under light winds. Historical station data for mid-May show typical minima clustering between 16°C and 22°C, yet recent continental air intrusions have already produced lows near 13°C earlier this month, shifting trader consensus toward cooler outcomes. This uncertainty around exact frontal timing and urban heat island effects keeps probabilities spread across the 19–22°C range, with upcoming model runs from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine resolution thresholds by mid-week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月20日の上海の最低気温は？
5月20日の上海の最低気温は？
22°C 33%
15℃以下 18%
21°C 16%
20°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/05/20
15℃以下
18%
16℃
3%
17℃
5%
18℃
4%
19℃
8%
20°C
15%
21°C
16%
22°C
33%
23°C
9%
24℃
5%
25°C以上
4%
22°C 33%
15℃以下 18%
21°C 16%
20°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/05/20
15℃以下
$28 Vol.
18%
16℃
$50 Vol.
3%
17℃
$20 Vol.
5%
18℃
$0 Vol.
4%
19℃
$6 Vol.
8%
20°C
$12 Vol.
15%
21°C
$6 Vol.
16%
22°C
$0 Vol.
33%
23°C
$6 Vol.
9%
24℃
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C以上
$53 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a likely dip in Shanghai's overnight low to 15°C or below on May 20, driven by increased cloud cover and a brief northerly flow that enhances radiative cooling under light winds. Historical station data for mid-May show typical minima clustering between 16°C and 22°C, yet recent continental air intrusions have already produced lows near 13°C earlier this month, shifting trader consensus toward cooler outcomes. This uncertainty around exact frontal timing and urban heat island effects keeps probabilities spread across the 19–22°C range, with upcoming model runs from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine resolution thresholds by mid-week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$176終了日
2026/05/20マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a likely dip in Shanghai's overnight low to 15°C or below on May 20, driven by increased cloud cover and a brief northerly flow that enhances radiative cooling under light winds. Historical station data for mid-May show typical minima clustering between 16°C and 22°C, yet recent continental air intrusions have already produced lows near 13°C earlier this month, shifting trader consensus toward cooler outcomes. This uncertainty around exact frontal timing and urban heat island effects keeps probabilities spread across the 19–22°C range, with upcoming model runs from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine resolution thresholds by mid-week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$176終了日
2026/05/20マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a likely dip in Shanghai's overnight low to 15°C or below on May 20, driven by increased cloud cover and a brief northerly flow that enhances radiative cooling under light winds. Historical station data for mid-May show typical minima clustering between 16°C and 22°C, yet recent continental air intrusions have already produced lows near 13°C earlier this month, shifting trader consensus toward cooler outcomes. This uncertainty around exact frontal timing and urban heat island effects keeps probabilities spread across the 19–22°C range, with upcoming model runs from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine resolution thresholds by mid-week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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