Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 75 °F today under partly to mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow and dew points in the mid-50s, keeping the market tightly balanced between the 76-77 °F and 78-79 °F bins. Afternoon solar heating and any reduction in cloud cover could push readings a degree or two higher, while a slightly earlier marine influence or modest increase in low-level moisture would cap the peak closer to 76 °F. This narrow spread reflects the typical uncertainty range in short-range temperature forecasts for urban stations like Central Park or LaGuardia, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing determine whether the daily maximum settles in the mid- or upper-70s.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 35%
78-79°F 34%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 11.6%
$41,526 Vol.
$41,526 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 35%
78-79°F 34%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 11.6%
$41,526 Vol.
$41,526 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 75 °F today under partly to mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow and dew points in the mid-50s, keeping the market tightly balanced between the 76-77 °F and 78-79 °F bins. Afternoon solar heating and any reduction in cloud cover could push readings a degree or two higher, while a slightly earlier marine influence or modest increase in low-level moisture would cap the peak closer to 76 °F. This narrow spread reflects the typical uncertainty range in short-range temperature forecasts for urban stations like Central Park or LaGuardia, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing determine whether the daily maximum settles in the mid- or upper-70s.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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