Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance projects a highest temperature in New York City on May 17 in the mid-80s, supported by southerly flow under building high pressure that promotes daytime heating. Market odds cluster tightly around the 84–87°F outcomes because short-range models show limited spread in boundary-layer warmth, with small differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and mixing depth deciding whether readings peak near 85°F or edge into the upper 80s at Central Park and LaGuardia. This exceeds the mid-May climatological average of roughly 75°F, reflecting a transient warm ridge; evening model updates will clarify peak insolation timing and any convective suppression before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
5月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
86～87°F 32%
84～85°F 28%
88〜89°F 24%
82～83°F 10.2%
新規
新規
2026/05/17
華氏79度以下
1%
80〜81°F
2%
82～83°F
10%
84～85°F
28%
86～87°F
32%
88〜89°F
24%
90～91°F
9%
92～93°F
2%
94～95°F
1%
96～97°F
<1%
98°F以上
<1%
86～87°F 32%
84～85°F 28%
88〜89°F 24%
82～83°F 10.2%
新規
新規
2026/05/17
華氏79度以下
$1,894 Vol.
1%
80〜81°F
$1,521 Vol.
2%
82～83°F
$866 Vol.
10%
84～85°F
$301 Vol.
28%
86～87°F
$461 Vol.
32%
88〜89°F
$350 Vol.
24%
90～91°F
$203 Vol.
9%
92～93°F
$140 Vol.
2%
94～95°F
$173 Vol.
1%
96～97°F
$335 Vol.
<1%
98°F以上
$349 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance projects a highest temperature in New York City on May 17 in the mid-80s, supported by southerly flow under building high pressure that promotes daytime heating. Market odds cluster tightly around the 84–87°F outcomes because short-range models show limited spread in boundary-layer warmth, with small differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and mixing depth deciding whether readings peak near 85°F or edge into the upper 80s at Central Park and LaGuardia. This exceeds the mid-May climatological average of roughly 75°F, reflecting a transient warm ridge; evening model updates will clarify peak insolation timing and any convective suppression before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$6,485終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance projects a highest temperature in New York City on May 17 in the mid-80s, supported by southerly flow under building high pressure that promotes daytime heating. Market odds cluster tightly around the 84–87°F outcomes because short-range models show limited spread in boundary-layer warmth, with small differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and mixing depth deciding whether readings peak near 85°F or edge into the upper 80s at Central Park and LaGuardia. This exceeds the mid-May climatological average of roughly 75°F, reflecting a transient warm ridge; evening model updates will clarify peak insolation timing and any convective suppression before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$6,485終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent National Weather Service ensemble guidance projects a highest temperature in New York City on May 17 in the mid-80s, supported by southerly flow under building high pressure that promotes daytime heating. Market odds cluster tightly around the 84–87°F outcomes because short-range models show limited spread in boundary-layer warmth, with small differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and mixing depth deciding whether readings peak near 85°F or edge into the upper 80s at Central Park and LaGuardia. This exceeds the mid-May climatological average of roughly 75°F, reflecting a transient warm ridge; evening model updates will clarify peak insolation timing and any convective suppression before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問