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icon for Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

icon for Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

12% 確率
Polymarket
新規
12% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent confirmation of a new Ebola outbreak in remote Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of Congo, with 246 suspected cases and around 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, has not altered the low risk of U.S. importation by June 30. The outbreak involves a non-Zaire strain with direct-contact transmission, occurring far from major travel hubs amid ongoing security challenges that slow spread. Official surveillance by Africa CDC and WHO, combined with airport screening protocols and the virus's 21-day incubation period, make undetected entry highly improbable within the narrow window. Historical patterns show even larger outbreaks rarely reached the U.S. without medical evacuation, supporting the 88.5% market-implied probability of no case by the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$704
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent confirmation of a new Ebola outbreak in remote Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of Congo, with 246 suspected cases and around 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, has not altered the low risk of U.S. importation by June 30. The outbreak involves a non-Zaire strain with direct-contact transmission, occurring far from major travel hubs amid ongoing security challenges that slow spread. Official surveillance by Africa CDC and WHO, combined with airport screening protocols and the virus's 21-day incubation period, make undetected entry highly improbable within the narrow window. Historical patterns show even larger outbreaks rarely reached the U.S. without medical evacuation, supporting the 88.5% market-implied probability of no case by the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$704
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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よくある質問

「Ebola case in the US by June 30?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して12%です。例えば、「はい」が12¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を12%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Ebola case in the US by June 30?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 15, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Ebola case in the US by June 30?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Ebola case in the US by June 30?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して12%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を12%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Ebola case in the US by June 30?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。