Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C high in Jakarta on May 16 because official observations from the Indonesia Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency place typical mid-May daytime peaks in the 31–33°C range under stable trade-wind regimes during the early dry-season transition. Recent ground-station and satellite data confirm minimal convective instability and no anomalous warming from ENSO-neutral conditions, keeping surface temperatures within historical climatological bounds. Regional forecast models show consistent steering patterns that limit heat buildup, with only marginal urban-heat-island contributions expected. A sudden drop in wind speed or localized subsidence could theoretically push readings one degree higher, yet current guidance assigns negligible probability to that outcome before sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$72,765 Vol.
$72,765 Vol.
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$72,765 Vol.
$72,765 Vol.
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C high in Jakarta on May 16 because official observations from the Indonesia Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency place typical mid-May daytime peaks in the 31–33°C range under stable trade-wind regimes during the early dry-season transition. Recent ground-station and satellite data confirm minimal convective instability and no anomalous warming from ENSO-neutral conditions, keeping surface temperatures within historical climatological bounds. Regional forecast models show consistent steering patterns that limit heat buildup, with only marginal urban-heat-island contributions expected. A sudden drop in wind speed or localized subsidence could theoretically push readings one degree higher, yet current guidance assigns negligible probability to that outcome before sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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