Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 88-89°F (43.5% implied probability) in Miami on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and global model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project peak afternoon heat in the upper 80s under a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge. This setup features light southerly winds delaying sea breeze development, abundant sunshine, and sinking air that suppresses cloud cover and thunderstorms, pushing readings above the mid-May climatological average of 87°F at Miami International Airport. Nearby outcomes like 90-91°F (23.5%) and 86-87°F (22.5%) reflect uncertainty in exact sea breeze timing or isolated pop-up showers. Overnight forecast updates from NWS Miami will refine probabilities as observations from May 15 confirm the ridge's dominance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 25%
86-87°F 23%
92-93°F 6%
新規
$10,079 Vol.
新規
$10,079 Vol.
2026/05/16
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 25%
86-87°F 23%
92-93°F 6%
新規
$10,079 Vol.
新規
$10,079 Vol.
2026/05/16
79°F or below
$772 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,037 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,311 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$867 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$895 Vol.
23%
88-89°F
$1,192 Vol.
45%
90-91°F
$983 Vol.
25%
92-93°F
$866 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$372 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$254 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$554 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 88-89°F (43.5% implied probability) in Miami on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and global model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project peak afternoon heat in the upper 80s under a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge. This setup features light southerly winds delaying sea breeze development, abundant sunshine, and sinking air that suppresses cloud cover and thunderstorms, pushing readings above the mid-May climatological average of 87°F at Miami International Airport. Nearby outcomes like 90-91°F (23.5%) and 86-87°F (22.5%) reflect uncertainty in exact sea breeze timing or isolated pop-up showers. Overnight forecast updates from NWS Miami will refine probabilities as observations from May 15 confirm the ridge's dominance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$10,079終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 88-89°F (43.5% implied probability) in Miami on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and global model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project peak afternoon heat in the upper 80s under a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge. This setup features light southerly winds delaying sea breeze development, abundant sunshine, and sinking air that suppresses cloud cover and thunderstorms, pushing readings above the mid-May climatological average of 87°F at Miami International Airport. Nearby outcomes like 90-91°F (23.5%) and 86-87°F (22.5%) reflect uncertainty in exact sea breeze timing or isolated pop-up showers. Overnight forecast updates from NWS Miami will refine probabilities as observations from May 15 confirm the ridge's dominance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,079終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 88-89°F (43.5% implied probability) in Miami on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and global model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project peak afternoon heat in the upper 80s under a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge. This setup features light southerly winds delaying sea breeze development, abundant sunshine, and sinking air that suppresses cloud cover and thunderstorms, pushing readings above the mid-May climatological average of 87°F at Miami International Airport. Nearby outcomes like 90-91°F (23.5%) and 86-87°F (22.5%) reflect uncertainty in exact sea breeze timing or isolated pop-up showers. Overnight forecast updates from NWS Miami will refine probabilities as observations from May 15 confirm the ridge's dominance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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