Trader consensus favors no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15 at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting CDC surveillance data showing no laboratory-confirmed infections reported domestically in 2026 to date despite routine annual incidence of 20–40 cases, mostly Sin Nombre virus from rodent exposure in western states. A multi-country Andes virus (ANDV) cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, reported May 2 with eight cases (six confirmed) and three deaths as of May 8 per WHO, prompted monitoring of exposed US passengers across 16 states; however, preliminary tests like one in Illinois returned negative, and CDC assesses public risk as extremely low given no person-to-person spread for US strains. Resolution hinges on official public health notifications in the next 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月15日までに米国でハンタウイルスの症例が確認されましたか？
5月15日までに米国でハンタウイルスの症例が確認されましたか？
はい
$745,037 Vol.
$745,037 Vol.
2026/05/15
はい
$745,037 Vol.
$745,037 Vol.
2026/05/15
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus favors no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15 at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting CDC surveillance data showing no laboratory-confirmed infections reported domestically in 2026 to date despite routine annual incidence of 20–40 cases, mostly Sin Nombre virus from rodent exposure in western states. A multi-country Andes virus (ANDV) cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, reported May 2 with eight cases (six confirmed) and three deaths as of May 8 per WHO, prompted monitoring of exposed US passengers across 16 states; however, preliminary tests like one in Illinois returned negative, and CDC assesses public risk as extremely low given no person-to-person spread for US strains. Resolution hinges on official public health notifications in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
音量
$745,037終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus favors no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15 at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting CDC surveillance data showing no laboratory-confirmed infections reported domestically in 2026 to date despite routine annual incidence of 20–40 cases, mostly Sin Nombre virus from rodent exposure in western states. A multi-country Andes virus (ANDV) cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, reported May 2 with eight cases (six confirmed) and three deaths as of May 8 per WHO, prompted monitoring of exposed US passengers across 16 states; however, preliminary tests like one in Illinois returned negative, and CDC assesses public risk as extremely low given no person-to-person spread for US strains. Resolution hinges on official public health notifications in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$745,038終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15 at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting CDC surveillance data showing no laboratory-confirmed infections reported domestically in 2026 to date despite routine annual incidence of 20–40 cases, mostly Sin Nombre virus from rodent exposure in western states. A multi-country Andes virus (ANDV) cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, reported May 2 with eight cases (six confirmed) and three deaths as of May 8 per WHO, prompted monitoring of exposed US passengers across 16 states; however, preliminary tests like one in Illinois returned negative, and CDC assesses public risk as extremely low given no person-to-person spread for US strains. Resolution hinges on official public health notifications in the next 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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