Trader sentiment on Helsinki's highest temperature on May 15 clusters tightly around 17°C (36%) and 16°C (34%), mirroring ECMWF and GFS ensemble means near 16°C with spreads of 14–18°C at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport, the resolution station. Recent southerly winds under a high-pressure ridge have advected milder air masses, boosting forecasts above recent cool highs near 9°C amid persistent cloudiness. Differentiating factors include Baltic Sea moisture potentially increasing cloud cover and limiting insolation for 17°C, versus clearer skies and stronger advection favoring it—Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance aligns at 15–17°C, consistent with May climatological averages of ~15°C. New 12Z model runs today and hourly observations tomorrow will sharpen consensus amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
16°C 36.4%
17°C 36%
18°C 18%
15°C 8.9%
$18,942 Vol.
$18,942 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
9%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C
18%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 36.4%
17°C 36%
18°C 18%
15°C 8.9%
$18,942 Vol.
$18,942 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
9%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C
18%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader sentiment on Helsinki's highest temperature on May 15 clusters tightly around 17°C (36%) and 16°C (34%), mirroring ECMWF and GFS ensemble means near 16°C with spreads of 14–18°C at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport, the resolution station. Recent southerly winds under a high-pressure ridge have advected milder air masses, boosting forecasts above recent cool highs near 9°C amid persistent cloudiness. Differentiating factors include Baltic Sea moisture potentially increasing cloud cover and limiting insolation for 17°C, versus clearer skies and stronger advection favoring it—Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance aligns at 15–17°C, consistent with May climatological averages of ~15°C. New 12Z model runs today and hourly observations tomorrow will sharpen consensus amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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