Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station (LEMD), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21°C on May 14, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. AEMET data aligns closely, with nearby stations like Retiro recording 21.7°C and Ciudad Universitaria 22.9°C, amid persistent cloud cover from a recent frontal system and cool northerly flow that limited solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating below typical mid-May averages of 23–24°C. ECMWF and AEMET forecast models had converged on mild maxima of 20–22°C in the days prior, reflecting these atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data revisions or station-specific microclimate discrepancies could theoretically prompt review; no further updates are expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
21°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$86,948 Vol.
$86,948 Vol.
2026/05/14
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$86,948 Vol.
$86,948 Vol.
2026/05/14
18°C or below
$3,725 Vol.
No
19°C
$12,128 Vol.
No
20°C
$15,181 Vol.
No
21°C
$18,905 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$9,507 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,854 Vol.
No
24°C
$9,151 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,903 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,940 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,717 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$3,937 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station (LEMD), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21°C on May 14, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. AEMET data aligns closely, with nearby stations like Retiro recording 21.7°C and Ciudad Universitaria 22.9°C, amid persistent cloud cover from a recent frontal system and cool northerly flow that limited solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating below typical mid-May averages of 23–24°C. ECMWF and AEMET forecast models had converged on mild maxima of 20–22°C in the days prior, reflecting these atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data revisions or station-specific microclimate discrepancies could theoretically prompt review; no further updates are expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
音量
$86,948終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station (LEMD), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21°C on May 14, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. AEMET data aligns closely, with nearby stations like Retiro recording 21.7°C and Ciudad Universitaria 22.9°C, amid persistent cloud cover from a recent frontal system and cool northerly flow that limited solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating below typical mid-May averages of 23–24°C. ECMWF and AEMET forecast models had converged on mild maxima of 20–22°C in the days prior, reflecting these atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data revisions or station-specific microclimate discrepancies could theoretically prompt review; no further updates are expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$86,948終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station (LEMD), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21°C on May 14, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. AEMET data aligns closely, with nearby stations like Retiro recording 21.7°C and Ciudad Universitaria 22.9°C, amid persistent cloud cover from a recent frontal system and cool northerly flow that limited solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating below typical mid-May averages of 23–24°C. ECMWF and AEMET forecast models had converged on mild maxima of 20–22°C in the days prior, reflecting these atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data revisions or station-specific microclimate discrepancies could theoretically prompt review; no further updates are expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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