Latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chongqing's May 16 high temperature in the 23–27°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–25°C outcomes and trader consensus on subdued peaks below climatological May averages of 27°C. This reflects uncertainty from the onset of Chongqing's humid "plum rain" season, with high precipitation probabilities (up to 90% on some ensembles) fostering extensive cloud cover that caps diurnal heating despite warm air masses aloft. Key differentiators include shower timing—early-day rain favors lower outcomes like 21–23°C, while delayed clearing could push toward 25°C or higher. Watch for CMA's next 24-hour update and model refreshes tomorrow, which may sharpen the peak distribution as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 16?
25°C or higher 48%
24°C 28%
23°C 15%
22°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/05/16
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
15%
24°C
28%
25°C or higher
40%
25°C or higher 48%
24°C 28%
23°C 15%
22°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/05/16
15°C or below
$128 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$15 Vol.
1%
20°C
$65 Vol.
1%
21°C
$12 Vol.
4%
22°C
$67 Vol.
7%
23°C
$54 Vol.
15%
24°C
$46 Vol.
28%
25°C or higher
$128 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chongqing's May 16 high temperature in the 23–27°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–25°C outcomes and trader consensus on subdued peaks below climatological May averages of 27°C. This reflects uncertainty from the onset of Chongqing's humid "plum rain" season, with high precipitation probabilities (up to 90% on some ensembles) fostering extensive cloud cover that caps diurnal heating despite warm air masses aloft. Key differentiators include shower timing—early-day rain favors lower outcomes like 21–23°C, while delayed clearing could push toward 25°C or higher. Watch for CMA's next 24-hour update and model refreshes tomorrow, which may sharpen the peak distribution as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
音量
$904終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chongqing's May 16 high temperature in the 23–27°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–25°C outcomes and trader consensus on subdued peaks below climatological May averages of 27°C. This reflects uncertainty from the onset of Chongqing's humid "plum rain" season, with high precipitation probabilities (up to 90% on some ensembles) fostering extensive cloud cover that caps diurnal heating despite warm air masses aloft. Key differentiators include shower timing—early-day rain favors lower outcomes like 21–23°C, while delayed clearing could push toward 25°C or higher. Watch for CMA's next 24-hour update and model refreshes tomorrow, which may sharpen the peak distribution as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$904終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ETLatest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chongqing's May 16 high temperature in the 23–27°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–25°C outcomes and trader consensus on subdued peaks below climatological May averages of 27°C. This reflects uncertainty from the onset of Chongqing's humid "plum rain" season, with high precipitation probabilities (up to 90% on some ensembles) fostering extensive cloud cover that caps diurnal heating despite warm air masses aloft. Key differentiators include shower timing—early-day rain favors lower outcomes like 21–23°C, while delayed clearing could push toward 25°C or higher. Watch for CMA's next 24-hour update and model refreshes tomorrow, which may sharpen the peak distribution as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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