Latest forecasts from the South African Weather Service place Cape Town’s daily maximum at 22°C on May 16 under a stable high-pressure ridge, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors moderate daytime heating at Cape Town International Airport. These conditions align with current model consensus and sit slightly above the month’s long-term average high near 19–20°C, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability on the 22°C outcome. Final resolution depends on verified observations recorded through the day; any unexpected increase in cloudiness or stronger on-shore flow could cap temperatures at 21°C, while clearer skies and reduced wind would be needed to reach 23°C or higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$37,127 Vol.
$37,127 Vol.
2026/05/16
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$37,127 Vol.
$37,127 Vol.
2026/05/16
22°C
$4,235 Vol.
100%
23°C
$3,179 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,323 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,489 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,495 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the South African Weather Service place Cape Town’s daily maximum at 22°C on May 16 under a stable high-pressure ridge, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors moderate daytime heating at Cape Town International Airport. These conditions align with current model consensus and sit slightly above the month’s long-term average high near 19–20°C, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability on the 22°C outcome. Final resolution depends on verified observations recorded through the day; any unexpected increase in cloudiness or stronger on-shore flow could cap temperatures at 21°C, while clearer skies and reduced wind would be needed to reach 23°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
音量
$37,127終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the South African Weather Service place Cape Town’s daily maximum at 22°C on May 16 under a stable high-pressure ridge, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors moderate daytime heating at Cape Town International Airport. These conditions align with current model consensus and sit slightly above the month’s long-term average high near 19–20°C, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability on the 22°C outcome. Final resolution depends on verified observations recorded through the day; any unexpected increase in cloudiness or stronger on-shore flow could cap temperatures at 21°C, while clearer skies and reduced wind would be needed to reach 23°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$37,127終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETLatest forecasts from the South African Weather Service place Cape Town’s daily maximum at 22°C on May 16 under a stable high-pressure ridge, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors moderate daytime heating at Cape Town International Airport. These conditions align with current model consensus and sit slightly above the month’s long-term average high near 19–20°C, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability on the 22°C outcome. Final resolution depends on verified observations recorded through the day; any unexpected increase in cloudiness or stronger on-shore flow could cap temperatures at 21°C, while clearer skies and reduced wind would be needed to reach 23°C or higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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