PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on May 16 projects a daytime high of 34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of isolated afternoon rain showers, anchoring trader consensus near even odds between 34°C and 35°C. In this peak hot-season period, typical maximums reach 34°C amid high humidity and weak steering winds that allow localized convection to cap temperatures below stronger model runs. Recent observations from the Science Garden station show yesterday's peak at 34.4°C, while ensemble guidance indicates modest variability from cloud cover or brief showers that could prevent breaching 35°C. With resolution based on the official PAGASA reading, the tight spread between the two leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether convective activity will suppress the upper end of the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on May 16?
34°C 34%
35°C 34%
33°C 24%
32°C 5.3%
$21,840 Vol.
$21,840 Vol.
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
24%
34°C
34%
35°C
34%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 34%
35°C 34%
33°C 24%
32°C 5.3%
$21,840 Vol.
$21,840 Vol.
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
24%
34°C
34%
35°C
34%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on May 16 projects a daytime high of 34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of isolated afternoon rain showers, anchoring trader consensus near even odds between 34°C and 35°C. In this peak hot-season period, typical maximums reach 34°C amid high humidity and weak steering winds that allow localized convection to cap temperatures below stronger model runs. Recent observations from the Science Garden station show yesterday's peak at 34.4°C, while ensemble guidance indicates modest variability from cloud cover or brief showers that could prevent breaching 35°C. With resolution based on the official PAGASA reading, the tight spread between the two leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether convective activity will suppress the upper end of the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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