A cold front sweeping through São Paulo has driven down trader-implied probabilities for high temperatures, with models from Brazilian meteorological services like INMET forecasting a maximum around 21°C today amid 100% precipitation chances and persistent cloud cover. This frontal system, linked to an early polar air mass, suppresses daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, following warmer highs of 26°C earlier in the week. May climatology typically sees average highs of 22–24°C on the Saffir-Simpson declining trend, but current conditions favor the 20°C or below (40.5%) and 21–22°C outcomes due to enhanced humidity (around 59%) and rainfall. Observations through evening will confirm, with minimal upside risk for hotter readings absent unexpected clearing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月15日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
5月15日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
20℃以下 41%
21°C 23%
22°C 19%
23°C 17%
$30,449 Vol.
$30,449 Vol.
20℃以下
41%
21°C
23%
22°C
19%
23°C
17%
24℃
4%
25℃
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
1%
30°C以上
<1%
20℃以下 41%
21°C 23%
22°C 19%
23°C 17%
$30,449 Vol.
$30,449 Vol.
20℃以下
41%
21°C
23%
22°C
19%
23°C
17%
24℃
4%
25℃
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
1%
30°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
A cold front sweeping through São Paulo has driven down trader-implied probabilities for high temperatures, with models from Brazilian meteorological services like INMET forecasting a maximum around 21°C today amid 100% precipitation chances and persistent cloud cover. This frontal system, linked to an early polar air mass, suppresses daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, following warmer highs of 26°C earlier in the week. May climatology typically sees average highs of 22–24°C on the Saffir-Simpson declining trend, but current conditions favor the 20°C or below (40.5%) and 21–22°C outcomes due to enhanced humidity (around 59%) and rainfall. Observations through evening will confirm, with minimal upside risk for hotter readings absent unexpected clearing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問