Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory establish the minimum temperature at 25°C on May 15, consistent with typical mid-May subtropical conditions where nighttime lows average 24–27°C under stable high-pressure influence from the South China Sea. Light winds and moderate humidity prevented any significant nocturnal cooling, matching historical climatology for the region during this period. The market’s near-certain positioning on 25°C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, as traders incorporate confirmed measurements that meet the precise resolution threshold. Only an official revision to the recorded minimum or a shift to an alternative monitoring site could realistically alter this outcome before final settlement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
25°C 99.9%
18℃以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$61,734 Vol.
$61,734 Vol.
2026/05/15
18℃以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.9%
18℃以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$61,734 Vol.
$61,734 Vol.
2026/05/15
18℃以下
$2,456 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,286 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,298 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$2,278 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,651 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$5,051 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$12,238 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,636 Vol.
100%
26℃
$12,002 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,750 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$3,089 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory establish the minimum temperature at 25°C on May 15, consistent with typical mid-May subtropical conditions where nighttime lows average 24–27°C under stable high-pressure influence from the South China Sea. Light winds and moderate humidity prevented any significant nocturnal cooling, matching historical climatology for the region during this period. The market’s near-certain positioning on 25°C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, as traders incorporate confirmed measurements that meet the precise resolution threshold. Only an official revision to the recorded minimum or a shift to an alternative monitoring site could realistically alter this outcome before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
音量
$61,734終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory establish the minimum temperature at 25°C on May 15, consistent with typical mid-May subtropical conditions where nighttime lows average 24–27°C under stable high-pressure influence from the South China Sea. Light winds and moderate humidity prevented any significant nocturnal cooling, matching historical climatology for the region during this period. The market’s near-certain positioning on 25°C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, as traders incorporate confirmed measurements that meet the precise resolution threshold. Only an official revision to the recorded minimum or a shift to an alternative monitoring site could realistically alter this outcome before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$61,734終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory establish the minimum temperature at 25°C on May 15, consistent with typical mid-May subtropical conditions where nighttime lows average 24–27°C under stable high-pressure influence from the South China Sea. Light winds and moderate humidity prevented any significant nocturnal cooling, matching historical climatology for the region during this period. The market’s near-certain positioning on 25°C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, as traders incorporate confirmed measurements that meet the precise resolution threshold. Only an official revision to the recorded minimum or a shift to an alternative monitoring site could realistically alter this outcome before final settlement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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