Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 15 at 16:30 HKT, projects a minimum temperature of 24°C for May 17 amid a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, driving cloudy skies, high humidity (80–95%), and occasional showers with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 24°C (37% implied probability), followed closely by 23°C (26%) and 25°C (22%), reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal cooling under easterly winds force 4–5. Recent observations show similar minima around 24–26°C earlier in the week, consistent with May's normal to above-normal temperatures, though heavy showers could suppress lows slightly. Next HKO update expected soon, with real-time data pivotal as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の香港の最低気温は?
5月17日の香港の最低気温は?
24℃ 38%
23°C 25%
25℃ 21%
26℃ 15.5%
18℃以下
<1%
19°C
1%
20℃
1%
21°C
1%
22℃
10%
23°C
25%
24℃
38%
25℃
21%
26℃
16%
27℃
1%
28°C以上
2%
24℃ 38%
23°C 25%
25℃ 21%
26℃ 15.5%
18℃以下
<1%
19°C
1%
20℃
1%
21°C
1%
22℃
10%
23°C
25%
24℃
38%
25℃
21%
26℃
16%
27℃
1%
28°C以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 15 at 16:30 HKT, projects a minimum temperature of 24°C for May 17 amid a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, driving cloudy skies, high humidity (80–95%), and occasional showers with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 24°C (37% implied probability), followed closely by 23°C (26%) and 25°C (22%), reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal cooling under easterly winds force 4–5. Recent observations show similar minima around 24–26°C earlier in the week, consistent with May's normal to above-normal temperatures, though heavy showers could suppress lows slightly. Next HKO update expected soon, with real-time data pivotal as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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