Latest observational data from Russia's Hydrometcenter and Gismeteo show Moscow at around 15-16°C this morning under cloudy skies with light rain and southerly winds of 3-5 m/s, setting the stage for a high temperature tightly clustered at 21-23°C per trader consensus. Forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projects a peak of 21-22°C by early afternoon, driven by mild advection from the south but tempered by persistent cloud cover and isolated showers that could suppress heating below 22°C or allow brief clearing to nudge toward 23°C. This 1-2°C spread reflects short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and insolation; real-time station data at Vnukovo or Domodedovo through 1600 UTC will clarify resolution amid typical May variability around a 19°C climatological average. Updated model runs at 12Z expected soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
22°C 37.5%
23°C 27.3%
21°C 26%
24°C 11.1%
$29,048 Vol.
$29,048 Vol.
2026/05/15
20°C
1%
21°C
26%
22°C
38%
23°C
27%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 37.5%
23°C 27.3%
21°C 26%
24°C 11.1%
$29,048 Vol.
$29,048 Vol.
2026/05/15
20°C
$2,275 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,568 Vol.
26%
22°C
$2,919 Vol.
38%
23°C
$2,141 Vol.
27%
24°C
$1,787 Vol.
11%
25°C
$3,337 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$4,171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest observational data from Russia's Hydrometcenter and Gismeteo show Moscow at around 15-16°C this morning under cloudy skies with light rain and southerly winds of 3-5 m/s, setting the stage for a high temperature tightly clustered at 21-23°C per trader consensus. Forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projects a peak of 21-22°C by early afternoon, driven by mild advection from the south but tempered by persistent cloud cover and isolated showers that could suppress heating below 22°C or allow brief clearing to nudge toward 23°C. This 1-2°C spread reflects short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and insolation; real-time station data at Vnukovo or Domodedovo through 1600 UTC will clarify resolution amid typical May variability around a 19°C climatological average. Updated model runs at 12Z expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
音量
$29,048終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest observational data from Russia's Hydrometcenter and Gismeteo show Moscow at around 15-16°C this morning under cloudy skies with light rain and southerly winds of 3-5 m/s, setting the stage for a high temperature tightly clustered at 21-23°C per trader consensus. Forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projects a peak of 21-22°C by early afternoon, driven by mild advection from the south but tempered by persistent cloud cover and isolated showers that could suppress heating below 22°C or allow brief clearing to nudge toward 23°C. This 1-2°C spread reflects short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and insolation; real-time station data at Vnukovo or Domodedovo through 1600 UTC will clarify resolution amid typical May variability around a 19°C climatological average. Updated model runs at 12Z expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$29,048終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest observational data from Russia's Hydrometcenter and Gismeteo show Moscow at around 15-16°C this morning under cloudy skies with light rain and southerly winds of 3-5 m/s, setting the stage for a high temperature tightly clustered at 21-23°C per trader consensus. Forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projects a peak of 21-22°C by early afternoon, driven by mild advection from the south but tempered by persistent cloud cover and isolated showers that could suppress heating below 22°C or allow brief clearing to nudge toward 23°C. This 1-2°C spread reflects short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and insolation; real-time station data at Vnukovo or Domodedovo through 1600 UTC will clarify resolution amid typical May variability around a 19°C climatological average. Updated model runs at 12Z expected soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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