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icon for 5月17日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?

5月17日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?

icon for 5月17日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?

5月17日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?

15°C 34%

14°C 21%

16°C 20.2%

13°C 16%

Polymarket
新規

15°C 34%

14°C 21%

16°C 20.2%

13°C 16%

Polymarket
新規

10°C or below

$602 Vol.

<1%

11°C

$151 Vol.

1%

12°C

$154 Vol.

2%

13°C

$289 Vol.

18%

14°C

$263 Vol.

21%

15°C

$82 Vol.

34%

16°C

$98 Vol.

20%

17°C

$68 Vol.

6%

18°C

$242 Vol.

1%

19°C

$150 Vol.

<1%

20°C or higher

$118 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12–16°C outcomes at 19–20.5% implied probabilities, driven by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI)'s latest forecast of a 15°C high for Amsterdam on May 17 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light southerly winds at force 3. This follows a cool spell over the past week, with northwesterly flows capping recent maxima at 12–13°C, but a subtle shift to zonal flow introduces mild instability, limiting peak heating via cloud cover and precipitation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show spread in this range due to uncertainties in shower timing and solar insolation, consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 16°C highs. New model runs from KNMI and global centers tomorrow could sharpen differentiation among these closely matched bins.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,217
終了日
2026/05/17
マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12–16°C outcomes at 19–20.5% implied probabilities, driven by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI)'s latest forecast of a 15°C high for Amsterdam on May 17 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light southerly winds at force 3. This follows a cool spell over the past week, with northwesterly flows capping recent maxima at 12–13°C, but a subtle shift to zonal flow introduces mild instability, limiting peak heating via cloud cover and precipitation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show spread in this range due to uncertainties in shower timing and solar insolation, consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 16°C highs. New model runs from KNMI and global centers tomorrow could sharpen differentiation among these closely matched bins.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,217
終了日
2026/05/17
マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「5月17日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「15°C」で34%、次いで「14°C」が21%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、34¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に34%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「5月17日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 15, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「5月17日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「5月17日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「15°C」で34%であり、市場がこの結果に34%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「14°C」で21%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「5月17日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。